GOLD, IM BACK

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Hi, I’m Maicol, an Italian trader.
I study Gold since 2019.

I need your support.
Leave a like and follow me.
It’s a small thing for you, but important for my work.

Please read the description to understand the trading plan.
Don’t focus only on the chart. Thanks.

🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞

🔥 I’m back 🔥

After some logistical issues on TradingView, I’m back.
Let’s resume the daily analysis on Gold.

At the moment we have a strong Daily rejection close, with a fairly decisive H4 structure and good momentum on the H4 timeframe.
For this reason, I’m looking for long positioning opportunities.

At the same time, I’m closely monitoring oil and inflation.
If both start rising again, we could see Gold move lower.

On the other hand, if we see:

✔ the US dollar losing strength
✔ oil returning to more normal levels

⚠️ then Gold could resume its upward move.

📊 The reason is simple:

Gold becomes cheaper globally

Bond yields decline

Safe-haven demand returns

For now, however, caution is needed.

🔴 Iran’s proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz 🔴

The IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) of Iran has just made an important announcement regarding the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most critical energy transit points in the world.

They stated that any Arab or European country that expels the ambassadors of the United States and Israel will receive full freedom of passage through the strait.

In other words:

If a country breaks diplomatic relations with the United States and Israel →
its oil tankers would be allowed to cross the Strait of Hormuz safely.

This is a very unusual proposal because around 20% of global oil shipments pass through this strait, meaning any disruption can immediately shake global markets.

In practice, Iran is turning a strategic maritime passage into a tool of diplomatic pressure.

At the moment:

• No country has publicly accepted the offer
• Risks for shipping and insurance in the area remain very high
• The region is still in the middle of an escalating conflict

For markets, this matters because any disruption in the Strait of Hormuz directly impacts oil prices, inflation expectations, and overall global risk sentiment.

🔍 Reminder 🔍
I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.
I focus on the 14:30 news and the New York open at 15:30.

🔔 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything.

📬 If you have any questions, message me. I’ll reply.

In the meantime, have a good day.

-GOOD TRADING
-MANAGE RISK
-BE PATIENT

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