Before the FOMC meeting, the market shared the same question:
would gold rally ahead of the meeting and then face a sharp sell-off afterward, or continue breaking higher and extend the trend?
After the FOMC, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged — which was not a surprise.
What really mattered was the Fed’s tone, and Powell clearly chose a balanced stance:
neither too dovish nor too hawkish.
More importantly, the Fed has effectively ruled out further rate hikes, while still maintaining a high interest-rate environment.
As a result, gold did not experience a heavy sell-off after the FOMC, and continues to hold its structure near the highs.
At this stage, market focus is shifting toward external risk factors:
The risk of a U.S. government shutdown
U.S.–Iran tensions
Ongoing trade war risks with major partners
Questions surrounding the independence of the Fed
👉 The current macro backdrop is not bearish for gold.
👉 SELL setups are reactionary, not the core narrative of the trend.
⏱️ H1 Observation Range
Lower bound: 5,415
Upper bound: 5,600
Price is consolidating near the highs with a wide range and may gradually push toward higher round-number levels.
🟢 Support / BUY zones
5,505 – 5,410 – 5,310 – 5,250 – 5,100
🔴 Resistance / Key observation zones
5,660–5,665 – 5,700 – 5,800 – 6,000
🧠 Primary scenario
Wide volatility → risk management is key.
SELLs are only short-term reactions at resistance.
BUY pullbacks to support to ride the broader move, not to pick the top.
⚠️ Key notes for the current phase
Reading the chart is a skill.
Reading the Fed is a strategy.
Reading Trump’s statements is survival.
Markets don’t reward being right —
they reward discipline and alignment with the trend.
👉 SELL to react — BUY to stay in the game.
📌 Follow me to track macro scenarios, key price levels, and the ongoing journey of finding opportunities in the market.
would gold rally ahead of the meeting and then face a sharp sell-off afterward, or continue breaking higher and extend the trend?
After the FOMC, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged — which was not a surprise.
What really mattered was the Fed’s tone, and Powell clearly chose a balanced stance:
neither too dovish nor too hawkish.
More importantly, the Fed has effectively ruled out further rate hikes, while still maintaining a high interest-rate environment.
As a result, gold did not experience a heavy sell-off after the FOMC, and continues to hold its structure near the highs.
At this stage, market focus is shifting toward external risk factors:
The risk of a U.S. government shutdown
U.S.–Iran tensions
Ongoing trade war risks with major partners
Questions surrounding the independence of the Fed
👉 The current macro backdrop is not bearish for gold.
👉 SELL setups are reactionary, not the core narrative of the trend.
⏱️ H1 Observation Range
Lower bound: 5,415
Upper bound: 5,600
Price is consolidating near the highs with a wide range and may gradually push toward higher round-number levels.
🟢 Support / BUY zones
5,505 – 5,410 – 5,310 – 5,250 – 5,100
🔴 Resistance / Key observation zones
5,660–5,665 – 5,700 – 5,800 – 6,000
🧠 Primary scenario
Wide volatility → risk management is key.
SELLs are only short-term reactions at resistance.
BUY pullbacks to support to ride the broader move, not to pick the top.
⚠️ Key notes for the current phase
Reading the chart is a skill.
Reading the Fed is a strategy.
Reading Trump’s statements is survival.
Markets don’t reward being right —
they reward discipline and alignment with the trend.
👉 SELL to react — BUY to stay in the game.
📌 Follow me to track macro scenarios, key price levels, and the ongoing journey of finding opportunities in the market.
📊 XAUUSD & Forex Trading📈 Intraday setups – risk-managed⏱️ Live alerts + technical reasoning🧠 Consistency over hype📌 Trade the plan. Manage the risk.👉 Full signals & real-time insights
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
📊 XAUUSD & Forex Trading📈 Intraday setups – risk-managed⏱️ Live alerts + technical reasoning🧠 Consistency over hype📌 Trade the plan. Manage the risk.👉 Full signals & real-time insights
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。