XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Continuation Setup

🧠 What we see (SMC logic)

Asia High liquidity taken ✅
London LH formed ✅
Local bearish BOS ✅
Reaction from lower liquidity (AS.L) + Buy signal ✅
Short EMAs attempting recovery

👉 Structure suggests continuation, not full reversal

📊 Scenarios

🟢 Main scenario (Bullish continuation)
If current zone holds (≈4670):

Confirmation: HL + LTF CHoCH
Targets:
TP1: 4654 (already reacting)
TP2: 4616 (liquidity pullback) → continuation
Extension: retest 4700+

👉 Market may deliver a re-entry after inducement

🔴 Alternative scenario (Deeper pullback)
If price breaks:

4665–4660 zone

👉 Then:

move toward Reaction Level 4649
possible sweep → reversal setup

📌 Conclusion
Structure remains controlled bullish, and current move is:
👉 inducement + rebalancing, not a trend shift

📢 Note
For full execution details and additional charts:
👉 check the Notes section

ノート

What we are watching

🔍 Price is currently after:

liquidity sweep above highs
short-term bearish structure
reaction from lower zone (Buy signal)

🧠 Main focus
👉 Is this:

a real reversal
or
just inducement before further downside

📊 Key levels

🟢 Bullish

Hold above: 4670
Confirmation: CHoCH + HL (LTF)
👉 then:
target: 4654 (TP1)
possible continuation

🔴 Bearish (more likely now)

Rejection from EMA / FVG
No HH formed

👉 then:

continuation toward:
4650 Reaction Level
4616 liquidity

📌 Key idea
👉 Currently looks like:
a pullback in a short-term bearish trend

No strong long confirmation yet.

手動でトレードを終了しました

🔍 Current Context

Price reached the previous high area (~4724) and reacted sharply, showing clear rejection from a key supply zone.

Buy-side liquidity has been taken
No strong acceptance above the highs
Immediate rejection confirms lack of continuation

👉 This is a typical Smart Money reaction after liquidity grab

🧠 Smart Money Perspective

After taking liquidity above the highs:

Late buyers get trapped
Institutions begin distributing positions
Price shifts from expansion → decision / distribution phase
📊 Scenarios
🟡 Primary Scenario – Distribution / Range

As long as price remains below:
4724

👉 Expect:

Move back into range
Targets:
4700 → 4693
4682 → 4670

✔️ This would confirm distribution inside the range

🟢 Alternative Scenario – Bullish Continuation

Only valid if:

Price breaks above 4724
AND shows acceptance (not just a wick)

👉 Then:

Continuation toward:
4758 (next reaction level)
possible expansion higher
⚠️ Key Takeaway

This is no longer a clean buying zone.

👉 It is a decision area, where:

either distribution forms
or continuation needs strong confirmation

Sergiu_SmartMoney

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