Current Outlook: Clear Bearish Bias
The bearish trend continues following the "Bearish BOS" (Break of Structure). The price was rejected precisely at the 200 EMA (Red line). With the EMA 20/50/200 all trending downward, the technical pressure remains strongly bearish.
Strategy: Hedging to Protect Profits
Expect a technical-defying rebound on Monday's open following Trump’s weekend comments. Given the recent history of deep pullbacks and high volatility in JP225, I will either "hedge" (lock position) or "take full profits" on existing shorts to stay flexible during this spike.
Key Levels to Watch:
65,295 (Immediate Resistance): If the price fails to break this level on a 4H candle, it confirms the sellers are still in full control.
67,000 (Major Confluence): This is the critical junction where EMA 50 and 200 overlap (Yellow circle). The bear trend remains valid unless we see a decisive break above this zone.
Summary:
While the technicals are "Sell" only, managing volatility is the top priority. I’m focusing on capital efficiency by taking frequent profits and avoiding complex, over-leveraged positions.
Note: If 65,295 is broken with momentum, the deep pullback could signal a structural shift. In that case, I will close shorts and move to the sidelines.
#JP225 #Nikkei225
The bearish trend continues following the "Bearish BOS" (Break of Structure). The price was rejected precisely at the 200 EMA (Red line). With the EMA 20/50/200 all trending downward, the technical pressure remains strongly bearish.
Strategy: Hedging to Protect Profits
Expect a technical-defying rebound on Monday's open following Trump’s weekend comments. Given the recent history of deep pullbacks and high volatility in JP225, I will either "hedge" (lock position) or "take full profits" on existing shorts to stay flexible during this spike.
Key Levels to Watch:
65,295 (Immediate Resistance): If the price fails to break this level on a 4H candle, it confirms the sellers are still in full control.
67,000 (Major Confluence): This is the critical junction where EMA 50 and 200 overlap (Yellow circle). The bear trend remains valid unless we see a decisive break above this zone.
Summary:
While the technicals are "Sell" only, managing volatility is the top priority. I’m focusing on capital efficiency by taking frequent profits and avoiding complex, over-leveraged positions.
Note: If 65,295 is broken with momentum, the deep pullback could signal a structural shift. In that case, I will close shorts and move to the sidelines.
#JP225 #Nikkei225
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。