Microsoft 
MSFT is sitting at $390.74, touching the 200-week EMA for the first time since the 2022 low at $222. That prior test produced a 102% return before the next consolidation. The current setup is worth mapping clearly.
The chart structure
The 200-week EMA is now acting as dynamic support at the $385 to $395 zone. The 50-week EMA remains above the 200-week EMA confirming the long-term uptrend is technically intact despite the 17% pullback from highs. The DeMarker on the weekly is approaching the exhaustion zone that has historically marked major swing lows across large-cap technology names.
The two measured move targets on the chart
The first box on the chart shows the prior 2022 to 2024 move of 102%, measured from the 200-week EMA entry at $222 to the $449 breakout level. The second box projects an equivalent move from the current 200-week EMA test at $390, producing a measured target of $779.74, labelled on the chart as the 100.52% move target.
Target 1 at $490 to $500 is the return to the prior EMA cluster and consolidation zone. Target 2 at $779.74 is the full measured move extension.
Risk level
A weekly close and hold below $340 would place price below the 200-week EMA on a sustained basis, invalidating the long-term accumulation thesis. That is the stop level for any long-term position entered in the current zone.
Context
The PE ratio at 23.26 is 25% below the 10-year historical average of 31. Azure grew 40% in the most recent quarter. EPS of $16.80 represents 30% year-on-year growth. The business fundamentals support the technical signal rather than contradicting it.
Let price confirm the hold above the 200-week EMA before adding aggressively. A weekly close above $420 with the EMA cluster turning supportive would be the structural confirmation signal.
Not financial advice. All levels are for analytical purposes only.
MSFT is sitting at $390.74, touching the 200-week EMA for the first time since the 2022 low at $222. That prior test produced a 102% return before the next consolidation. The current setup is worth mapping clearly.The chart structure
The 200-week EMA is now acting as dynamic support at the $385 to $395 zone. The 50-week EMA remains above the 200-week EMA confirming the long-term uptrend is technically intact despite the 17% pullback from highs. The DeMarker on the weekly is approaching the exhaustion zone that has historically marked major swing lows across large-cap technology names.
The two measured move targets on the chart
The first box on the chart shows the prior 2022 to 2024 move of 102%, measured from the 200-week EMA entry at $222 to the $449 breakout level. The second box projects an equivalent move from the current 200-week EMA test at $390, producing a measured target of $779.74, labelled on the chart as the 100.52% move target.
Target 1 at $490 to $500 is the return to the prior EMA cluster and consolidation zone. Target 2 at $779.74 is the full measured move extension.
Risk level
A weekly close and hold below $340 would place price below the 200-week EMA on a sustained basis, invalidating the long-term accumulation thesis. That is the stop level for any long-term position entered in the current zone.
Context
The PE ratio at 23.26 is 25% below the 10-year historical average of 31. Azure grew 40% in the most recent quarter. EPS of $16.80 represents 30% year-on-year growth. The business fundamentals support the technical signal rather than contradicting it.
Let price confirm the hold above the 200-week EMA before adding aggressively. A weekly close above $420 with the EMA cluster turning supportive would be the structural confirmation signal.
Not financial advice. All levels are for analytical purposes only.
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⭐ Prop Firm Deals - linktr.ee/rb_tradingltd
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
⭐ Follow the 3-Gate System - tradedesk.rbtrading.site
⭐ Prop Firm Deals - linktr.ee/rb_tradingltd
⭐ #1 Free Trading Journal Lite | +20% Off Pro code RBT20 - rbtrading.site/?ref=RBT20
⭐ Prop Firm Deals - linktr.ee/rb_tradingltd
⭐ #1 Free Trading Journal Lite | +20% Off Pro code RBT20 - rbtrading.site/?ref=RBT20
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。