更新済

NG - Serious Bear - ST/LT View

This is a serious bear... I am giving my short term/long term outlook here.

Setting up for near term buy. Longer term I believe there will be another low coming. A wave 3 low is currently setting up with a long side wave 4 counter trend trade opportunity.

Here is a Monthly Linear Chart with my anticipated pathway and target price for a longer term buy.

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Looks like we've finally arrived....

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Time to monitor this market...entering wave 4 territory

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Be aware of this possibility.. shorter term appreciable move up possible here.

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Due to the longer term bullish structure I believe we stop short of the June 2020 low. That means we stop short of the purple channel line. I'm targeting the 1.69 level shown on the chart. That would complete 5 waves of C. This should represent a great longer term buy opportunity.

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Another alternate.... This one suggests the low is already in and we are currently in wave 2 ending in a diagonal zig zag "abc". As with any EW count best to be aware of all the possibilities and allow for confirmation before acting.

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Heads up... This is the current(May '23 ) contract

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Current wave count... This suggest one more low.

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A breakout of the red box and over the yellow channel line will have bullish implications IMO.

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June '23 contract will soon be front month... Clarifies the overall look a little.
Fundamentals continue to be bearish....which goes without saying right?