Nifty50指数
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Nifty Short, Medium Long term support & resstance-15-Jun-26

169
Nifty 23622
After near to 3 months of Middle East War and followed by ceasefire, negotiations and inbetween strikes, market hovering around nifty 23000 to 24400. Signing of deal ( End of tunnel) is finally visible. Crude oil price is hovering above 85-95$. Crude oil export from middle east countries have not even touched 50% of the pre February condition. These already created economic paralysis for many countries. Q1 results expected to be poor.

If the deal is signed in 7-10 days, crude price may reduce, market might move up little, predominantly within 26400 region. but if the deal is not signed, further escalation of war happens, market may touch down to 22000 and further upto 20000/19900, depends on the situation.

Hence be cautious , Selling of stocks recommended for the last 1 month. which would have created good profits. This cash used and can be used when market dipped to 22991 last week. keep 10-30% cash in case of fresh investment / already invested more consider few partial profit booking.

Q4 results are out and the performance is only average. IT stocks posted muted results and IT index have fallen. Nifty 50 was at 20 PE and incresed to 20.5 PE, though less than 3 year average Nifty PE, sustaining of profit margin and growth is under question.

Nifty bank is at 56822 (15 days before 54055 ) - Increased compared to other index.
Nifty IT from 27795 (15 days before 28912 ). As of now 28000 level is good support level. next support at 26000
Nifty Pharma from 24380 ( 15 days before 24574) - Flat
Nifty Midcap 150, midcap select also provided decent results from the dip to till date can be added as 20% of the portfolio considering longterm. Howver, indec is flat for last 15 days

The support and Resistances posted on 15-Mar-26 is still intact. It was a buying opportunity at 22200 for Long Term as mentioned in the report. Also buy on dip strategy betweem 22000-23000.
Nifty Supported effective at 22340/22000 Mid Term Support Currently near at 23925 (short term resistance 24000) Above 24000 decisively, the Mid resistance at 25000-25500 ( Multiple Resistance).
MACD - Still MACD signal didnt cross the MACD.
Crude price (brent) skyrocketed from 70 usd & touched 120 usd and reduced to 87 usd. gold reduced to 4072 Usd / Ounce ( from 5100 usd /ounce two weeks before) and slightly up to 4218 usd / ounce currently
Bitcoin dropped steeply from 75000 to 59000 and increased slightly to 63000 level in last fortnight.

15-Mar-2026 Report buy on dips and it still continues:
Assuming all time high of 26380 is target from current 23151 (11-12%) If it drops to 22500, from there it will be (17% up) which can be achieved in 12-15 months, once war issue is resolved. Hence accumulate whenever dips as per support level.

Nifty Short Term Supports : 23000 -22840- ( Fib support)-22500
Short Term Resistance Ist Resistnace at 24900 , IInd Resistance at 25500) , should cross decisively 24350-24400

Med Term support 22340 ( Fib Support) 22000
Med Term Resistance (Trend Line as shown) 26000 26372 All time High)

Long Term Resistance shall cross all time high 26372 decisively. next target are 27000 28000
Long Term Support 21750 (Fib Support) 21450 21000 Worst Case 20000/19900. Further worst case 18300/18000

Some stocks to watchout for given on 8-mar-26 still continues and many stocks have raised so far. Sharda Cropchem, Garden Reach, APL apollo tubes, AU small finance bank on dip, Muthoot finance ,CPCL, waaree energies, Bank of Maharashtra , lUPIN, CIE automative, Navin Flourine , Apar,(caution already increased) ,NMDC ( caution- Result awaited),

OTHER stocks for to maintain balance in portfolio for large cap and stability for large cap and stability- HDFC Bank icici bank sbi, coforge, persistent system, TCS( IT stocks strictly on dips) Infosys,tata steel ,Bajaj fin. Watchout to buy only if nifty dips below 23000 and to 22000/20000.
トレード稼働中
US Deal electronically signed and crude dropped to 82$ which looks immediate positive in short term.
60 days negotiation follows after the deal. During this period Israel shall not attack iran or lebanon, or USA shall not attack Iran. Hormuz might close if it gone extreme. But can consider the risk is slowly reducing and there is a hope to return to normalcy.
Nifty touched near to 24000 and cloed at 23850 on 15-Ju-26.
Immediate resistance after 24000 is 24300- 24450
if it cross 24400 decisively, next target is fib resistance 25480
Market will be highly volatile in next 10 days to take a consolidation.
In Medium term, the economy outlook of Q1 , till smooth crude flow from Middle east and drop in inflation will be critical and decide the path.
In Long term, govt policy and push to econmic revival will take indian market.
ノート
Nifty Crossed the immediate hurdle of 24000, touched 24190 and settled near 24000.
Short Term market tend to move up 24350- 24400 resistance.
If it cross decisively next target is 24800 in short term.

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