NVDA has been trading in a tight 170-$196 range (except for few days) since July '25. Weekly red candles on high volumes show sign of distribution.
Since Sep 30th price during trading hours has declined significantly (-$68 total decline from 9.30.25 to 2.27.26). This means that the the stock is nearly flat during that time only due to after hours pumps. Market makers pump price overnight and dump it on the retail during trading hours.
If market is going to have significant decline, as I am expecting, NVDA will see sub $100 quickly.
The only positive development on the chart that I see is price actions on the very short time frame 3.2.26 to 3.11.26. Unfortunately it did not come on the high volume.
There are a lot of news around disruption of helium supply due to Iran conflict which is needed for chip making process; oil disruptions to Taiwan that could potentially impact production/supply of chips. I am not sure what exactly will be the trigger, but chart doesn't scream investors confidence.
Since Sep 30th price during trading hours has declined significantly (-$68 total decline from 9.30.25 to 2.27.26). This means that the the stock is nearly flat during that time only due to after hours pumps. Market makers pump price overnight and dump it on the retail during trading hours.
If market is going to have significant decline, as I am expecting, NVDA will see sub $100 quickly.
The only positive development on the chart that I see is price actions on the very short time frame 3.2.26 to 3.11.26. Unfortunately it did not come on the high volume.
There are a lot of news around disruption of helium supply due to Iran conflict which is needed for chip making process; oil disruptions to Taiwan that could potentially impact production/supply of chips. I am not sure what exactly will be the trigger, but chart doesn't scream investors confidence.
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