Harmony / TetherUS
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ONE/USDT – The Final Shakeout Before Reversal?

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The weekly chart of ONE/USDT tells the story of a full crypto market cycle:
from the euphoric highs of 2021 to a prolonged downtrend that has now brought price back into the historical accumulation zone between 0.0055 – 0.0042 — the same area that preceded ONE’s previous bull run.

The breakdown below 0.00915 triggered a wave of panic selling and swept deep liquidity, forming a massive lower wick that pierced the yellow demand zone.
Such movements often mark the capitulation phase, where retail traders capitulate and smart money begins accumulating silently beneath the surface.


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Structure & Technical Overview

Macro trend: Strong multi-year downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows since 2021.

Key demand zone: The yellow block (0.0055 – 0.0042) acts as the last major demand zone and potential base for a new market cycle.

Candle behavior: The large wick suggests a liquidity grab — a common signal that downside exhaustion may be near if confirmed by a strong weekly close above the zone.

Major resistance levels: 0.0130 → 0.01625 → 0.0200 → 0.0240 → 0.0355 — these levels could serve as potential retest or breakout targets if a trend reversal occurs.



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Bullish Scenario

Main condition: A weekly close back above 0.00915 would signal a key reclaim and potential structural reversal.

Confirmation signals: Rising buy volume and the formation of a higher low above the yellow zone.

Upside targets:

1. 0.0130 – first technical rebound level


2. 0.01625 – 0.0200 – mid-range supply zone


3. 0.0355 – macro target if reversal sustains



Bullish narrative:
“Smart money accumulates when fear dominates. The quiet phase of accumulation might already be underway.”



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Bearish Scenario

Bearish confirmation: A weekly close below 0.0042 would confirm a full structural breakdown.

Next target: A continuation lower toward the psychological area of 0.0023, entering a deep undervaluation phase.

Bearish narrative:
“If the yellow zone fails, ONE could enter the final leg of its downcycle — a phase only the most patient investors endure.”



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Strategy & Opportunity

Short-term traders: Wait for a confirmed reclaim above 0.00915 before considering long entries.

Long-term investors: The 0.0055 – 0.0042 range remains a potential accumulation area — but only with disciplined risk management below support.

Core principle:
“True reversals are not born from optimism, but from despair.”



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Conclusion

ONE stands at a critical multi-year inflection point.
The 0.0055 – 0.0042 range represents the final battleground between capitulation and rebirth.
If the zone holds and price reclaims 0.00915, a new cycle could begin.
If it breaks lower, expect deeper undervaluation before the next accumulation phase forms.

The market is testing patience — separating believers from trend followers.

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