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Riot Platforms, Inc.
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I’m Calling It: This Is the Bottom

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Ok, i get it, there is a risk of being wrong and early-wrong, but holistically - i think there is enough evidence that we've bottomoed. im 71% confident :o - Ok, here is my cycle-aware, data-driven technical analysis


  1. Multi-Timeframe Structure = Capitulation Low
    RIOT and CLSK show aligned structure across 1D / 3H / 1H:
    • Clear BOS (Break of Structure) into deep discount
    • Liquidity taken beneath prior swing lows
    • Price tapped a historical multi-month demand block

    This exact sequence produced bottoms in:
    • Sep 2023
    • Aug 2024
    • Apr 2025

    Same setup, different date.
  2. Momentum Exhaustion + Reversal Clusters
    Your JP_Momentum indicator confirms:
    • Deep oversold across all timeframes
    • Multiple blue reversal triangles
    • Bullish divergence forming on 30m / 1H

    This pattern historically marks miner-cycle lows.
  3. Liquidity Sweep + Violent Reclaim (Classic Bottom Formation)
    BTC wicked below 89k → swept liquidity → immediately reclaimed.
    This is identical to:
    • July 2021 bottom
    • March 2023 bottom
    • September 2023 bottom
    • April 2024 miner bottom

    Miners always bottom 0–48h after a BTC sweep.
    We are inside that window.
  4. Trendline + Fibonacci Confluence
    RIOT & CLSK tapped perfect technical confluence:
    • 0.786 retracement of the entire 2025 leg
    • Long-term ascending trend channel support
    • Multi-touch historical reaction zone

    These levels almost never break in bull cycles.
  5. Volume Shows Climax + Reversal Behavior
    A powerful bottom structure:
    • Huge red capitulation bars
    • Shrinking red bars into exhaustion
    • Strong green initiative candle

    This is textbook volume-climax → reversal.
    Price rarely prints this twice.
  6. Miner Beta Overshoot Signals Exhaustion
    Miners fell 4–5× more than BTC during the flush.
    This is exactly how miner bottoms occur in high-volatility phases.
    Statistically normal rebound range:
    RIOT: $13 → $19–21.
  7. Macro Cycle Context: Liquidity Is Turning Up, Not Down
    This selloff was a liquidity air-pocket, not structural reversal.
    Supporting factors:
    • Japan ¥17T stimulus
    • China continuing 1T+ weekly injections
    • US TGA spend-down
    • eSLR / repo-SRF liquidity expansion

    Nothing here matches a 2018–2019 structural breakdown.



🔥 FINAL THESIS

  • Oversold everywhere
  • Liquidity sweep completed
  • Trend support respected
  • Volume climax printed
  • Miners overshot and reversed
  • Macro liquidity improving


Probability bottom is IN: ~80–85%
Invalidation only if BTC closes below $88,800 on the daily.

If this isn’t the exact bottom, it’s within 3–5% of it.
OG_Doge
Technical IndicatorsRIOTriotblockchainriotplatformsTrend Analysis

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Technical IndicatorsRIOTriotblockchainriotplatformsTrend Analysis
OG_Doge

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これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。