Setup: RKLB gapped open today on massive volume — the 1h bar shows an open at 86 with a high touching 99+ on nearly 20M shares in the first hour, dwarfing every prior session. On the 4h chart, price had been consolidating between 77-84 for two weeks after the Apr 16-17 surge to ~87, and today's move clears all of that resistance cleanly. The 100 level is the psychological and technical pivot — price is pressing against it.
Flow: Options flow is unambiguously bullish — 13 bullish vs 5 bearish prints with net premium heavily skewed long calls (~$2.66M bullish vs $857K bearish). The largest single print is a 3,299-lot 97C May-15 block ToOpen at $1.57M, establishing a new position into this move. Multiple 90C May-22 sweeps hit the ask, and the 100C May-15 is seeing repeated ask-side buying across five separate prints. Analyst mean target of $88 is now below market, which will force upgrades and create its own catalyst. The +26% on 2x relative volume and likely earnings/contract catalyst suggests sustained institutional accumulation.
Plan: Stop below the breakout gap-fill zone — a close back under the 94-95 zone (prior April resistance) invalidates the breakout thesis and suggests the gap is being faded back. Target is the 110 area, which represents the next clean extension level from the Jan peak at ~97 and the current psychological round-number momentum. R/R is ~2.2:1 from entry. If price fails to hold 97 on the first hourly close, that is an early warning to tighten.
📍 Entry: 99.11
🛑 Stop: 94.00
🎯 Target: 110.00
⚖️ R:R: 2.13
Flow: Options flow is unambiguously bullish — 13 bullish vs 5 bearish prints with net premium heavily skewed long calls (~$2.66M bullish vs $857K bearish). The largest single print is a 3,299-lot 97C May-15 block ToOpen at $1.57M, establishing a new position into this move. Multiple 90C May-22 sweeps hit the ask, and the 100C May-15 is seeing repeated ask-side buying across five separate prints. Analyst mean target of $88 is now below market, which will force upgrades and create its own catalyst. The +26% on 2x relative volume and likely earnings/contract catalyst suggests sustained institutional accumulation.
Plan: Stop below the breakout gap-fill zone — a close back under the 94-95 zone (prior April resistance) invalidates the breakout thesis and suggests the gap is being faded back. Target is the 110 area, which represents the next clean extension level from the Jan peak at ~97 and the current psychological round-number momentum. R/R is ~2.2:1 from entry. If price fails to hold 97 on the first hourly close, that is an early warning to tighten.
📍 Entry: 99.11
🛑 Stop: 94.00
🎯 Target: 110.00
⚖️ R:R: 2.13
Monk: stock research for Claude and ChatGPT. monk.trade · Research only, not investment advice.
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Monk: stock research for Claude and ChatGPT. monk.trade · Research only, not investment advice.
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。