Silver price forecast (mcx)

184
This is a **4-hour MCX Silver Futures** chart with a **falling channel (bearish trend)** and **Fibonacci retracement levels**. Here's what it suggests:

### 1. Overall Trend: Bearish

* Price is trading inside a **descending channel**, making lower highs and lower lows.
* Until the price breaks above the upper channel line, the primary trend remains **bearish**.

### 2. Current Price

* **Current Price:** **223,200**
* This is sitting almost exactly at the **78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (222,376)**.
* This zone is a **very important support**.

### 3. Important Levels

**Support**

* **222,376** (78.6% Fib) – Immediate support.
* **219,500–220,000** – Minor support.
* **199,806** (100% Fib) – Strong long-term support if selling intensifies.

**Resistance**

* **229,700–230,000** – First resistance.
* **234,901** (61.8% Fib) – Strong resistance.
* **252,540** (50% Fib) – Major breakout level.

### 4. What the Chart Indicates

There are **two possible scenarios**:

#### Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability if Support Holds)

* If **222,376** holds and buyers step in,
* Silver could rebound toward:

* **230,000**
* **235,000**
* **240,000**
* Later **252,500**

This matches the upward dashed arrow shown on the chart.

#### Bearish Scenario

* If **222,376** breaks decisively,
* Price may quickly fall toward:

* **215,000**
* **210,000**
* **200,000**

That would keep the downtrend intact.

### 5. Trading Strategy

**For Bulls**

* Watch for bullish candles or higher lows near **222,300–223,000**.
* A close above **230,000** would strengthen the recovery.
* A break above the channel and **235,000** would be a strong bullish confirmation.

**For Bears**

* If 222,376 is broken with strong volume, selling pressure may increase.
* The next downside target becomes **210,000–200,000**.

### My Technical View

At the moment, **223,200 is sitting at a make-or-break support**. Since this level coincides with the **78.6% Fibonacci retracement**, it has a good chance of producing a short-term bounce. However, **the trend remains bearish until the price breaks out of the descending channel and closes above 235,000**.

For **KTRA Commodities**, I would summarize it as:

> **MCX Silver is testing a crucial support at ₹2,22,376 (78.6% Fibonacci). Holding above this level could trigger a recovery toward ₹2.30–2.35 lakh. A breakdown below ₹2.22 lakh may accelerate selling toward ₹2.10–2.00 lakh. Traders should closely watch price action around this support before taking fresh positions.**

免責事項

これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。