Still think rates will head lower due for a myriad of reasons, but in the short term, it is plausible that rates will go higher for technical reasons.
Longer-Term Reasons for lower rates (i.e. lower for longer)-
1) Monetary Policy remains accommodative
2) Growth/Inflation expectations remain subdued
3) Foreign buying interest from places with negative yields on rates (see japan, europe)
Near term reasons for the long bond to go up in yield-
1) Hawkish Fed Talk
2) Technicals as seen in the diagram (e.g. long term toppyness, decelerating RSI, declerating CCI, potential MACD bearish cross-over)
Longer-Term Reasons for lower rates (i.e. lower for longer)-
1) Monetary Policy remains accommodative
2) Growth/Inflation expectations remain subdued
3) Foreign buying interest from places with negative yields on rates (see japan, europe)
Near term reasons for the long bond to go up in yield-
1) Hawkish Fed Talk
2) Technicals as seen in the diagram (e.g. long term toppyness, decelerating RSI, declerating CCI, potential MACD bearish cross-over)
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これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。