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DOW JONES Is it repeating the February peak formation?

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Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since April 21. In contrast to its Higher Highs, the 1D RSI has been under Lower Highs, which is a Bearish Divergence and a potential early Sell Signal.

This is so far similar to the RSI Bearish Divergence we saw just before the February 10 2026 peak that initiated the U.S. - Iran war correction below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).

As a result, as long as the Higher Highs trend-line doesn't breaks, we expect a short-term pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 50800.

A break below the Megaphone, opens up the possibility of a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) test at the top of Support Zone 1 at 49400.

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