Yesterday Recap — 15/9/26
Yesterday, USDTHB closed at 33.30 in the Thai market.
Meanwhile, the ADP Employment Change Weekly actual figure came in at 16.30K, up from the previous 12.00K, reflecting an improvement in employment conditions.
The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in at 7.60, below the forecast of 14.80 and the previous reading of 20.60, indicating a slowdown in New York’s manufacturing sector.
In the U.S. equity market, stocks closed lower amid pressure from higher Bond Yields and a surge in oil prices. Gold weakened to around $4,293/oz, while the DXY strengthened to around 99.7 amid a risk-off environment and ahead of the Fed meeting.
These factors provided support for the U.S. dollar and resulted in a slight weakening of the Thai baht, keeping USDTHB supported.
USDTHB
Fundamental — 16/9/26
Key Events Today| Forecast | Previous |
US: 19:30 — Core Retail Sales MoM | 0.5% | -0.3%
US: 19:30 — Retail Sales MoM | 0.8% | -0.6%
US: 19:30 — Import Price Index MoM | 0.0% | -0.4%
US: 01:00 — Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.00% | 3.75%
The market is mainly focused on Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales, which reflect consumer spending. The market expects consumer spending to recover from the previous month. If the data comes in above expectations, it could support the USD, while weaker-than-expected figures could put pressure on the USD.
In addition, the FOMC will announce its policy decision and economic projections today, which could lead to high volatility in USDTHB, particularly through the direction of the Fed rate, USD, and U.S. Bond Yields.
Overall, USDTHB is expected to remain highly volatile tonight, with the key focus on Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.
Technical Analysis — USDTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
The price is moving within the 33.25–33.32 range after forming a Higher Low.
If the price holds above 33.25, it could move higher to test 33.32, followed by 33.35–33.38.
However, if the price breaks below 33.25, the current structure would weaken, increasing the possibility of a decline toward 33.21.
The broader picture remains supported by the USD and U.S. Bond Yields ahead of the Fed meeting.
Resistance: 33.32 / 33.35 / 33.38
Support: 33.25 / 33.21 / 33.15
Target: 33.32 → 33.35 → 33.38
Cut Loss: 33.20
Yesterday, USDTHB closed at 33.30 in the Thai market.
Meanwhile, the ADP Employment Change Weekly actual figure came in at 16.30K, up from the previous 12.00K, reflecting an improvement in employment conditions.
The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index came in at 7.60, below the forecast of 14.80 and the previous reading of 20.60, indicating a slowdown in New York’s manufacturing sector.
In the U.S. equity market, stocks closed lower amid pressure from higher Bond Yields and a surge in oil prices. Gold weakened to around $4,293/oz, while the DXY strengthened to around 99.7 amid a risk-off environment and ahead of the Fed meeting.
These factors provided support for the U.S. dollar and resulted in a slight weakening of the Thai baht, keeping USDTHB supported.
USDTHB
Fundamental — 16/9/26
Key Events Today| Forecast | Previous |
US: 19:30 — Core Retail Sales MoM | 0.5% | -0.3%
US: 19:30 — Retail Sales MoM | 0.8% | -0.6%
US: 19:30 — Import Price Index MoM | 0.0% | -0.4%
US: 01:00 — Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4.00% | 3.75%
The market is mainly focused on Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales, which reflect consumer spending. The market expects consumer spending to recover from the previous month. If the data comes in above expectations, it could support the USD, while weaker-than-expected figures could put pressure on the USD.
In addition, the FOMC will announce its policy decision and economic projections today, which could lead to high volatility in USDTHB, particularly through the direction of the Fed rate, USD, and U.S. Bond Yields.
Overall, USDTHB is expected to remain highly volatile tonight, with the key focus on Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.
Technical Analysis — USDTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
The price is moving within the 33.25–33.32 range after forming a Higher Low.
If the price holds above 33.25, it could move higher to test 33.32, followed by 33.35–33.38.
However, if the price breaks below 33.25, the current structure would weaken, increasing the possibility of a decline toward 33.21.
The broader picture remains supported by the USD and U.S. Bond Yields ahead of the Fed meeting.
Resistance: 33.32 / 33.35 / 33.38
Support: 33.25 / 33.21 / 33.15
Target: 33.32 → 33.35 → 33.38
Cut Loss: 33.20
免責事項
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。