The policy divergence of the Federal Reserve has emerged, and the expectation of a rate cut has not been completely reversed.
Although some Fed officials (Schmid, Logan) oppose a rate cut in December, Powell emphasized that "policies need to balance the risks of employment and inflation", and member Milan advocated for a significant rate cut, while Baumann expected another rate cut twice before the end of the year. There is a significant divergence between the dovish and hawkish factions within the Fed. The probability of a rate cut in December remains at around 50% in the market, and the few hawkish remarks have not completely negated the trend of easing. Coupled with the narrow range fluctuation of the US dollar index near 99.66 today, it has not broken through the key resistance of 99.75, and the strengthening momentum of the US dollar has weakened marginally. The valuation pressure of crude oil priced in US dollars has eased, creating conditions for a rebound.
Crude oil trading strategy
buy：59.3-59.6
tp:60-60.5
sl:59
Although some Fed officials (Schmid, Logan) oppose a rate cut in December, Powell emphasized that "policies need to balance the risks of employment and inflation", and member Milan advocated for a significant rate cut, while Baumann expected another rate cut twice before the end of the year. There is a significant divergence between the dovish and hawkish factions within the Fed. The probability of a rate cut in December remains at around 50% in the market, and the few hawkish remarks have not completely negated the trend of easing. Coupled with the narrow range fluctuation of the US dollar index near 99.66 today, it has not broken through the key resistance of 99.75, and the strengthening momentum of the US dollar has weakened marginally. The valuation pressure of crude oil priced in US dollars has eased, creating conditions for a rebound.
Crude oil trading strategy
buy：59.3-59.6
tp:60-60.5
sl:59
トレード稼働中
The right time to go long!
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