1. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is stabilizing after a recent period of weakness as markets expect the Fed to maintain lower interest rates in 2025, reducing pressure on gold.
• US Stock Market:
U.S. equities are seeing slight corrections, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes. When stocks stall, gold often benefits.
• FED:
Recent weak economic data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut rates earlier in 2025. Any dovish signals from the Fed will support gold prices.
• TRUMP Administration:
The Trump administration is considering a new economic stimulus package and adjustments to import taxes. Protectionist-leaning policies may cause volatility in the USD, but generally increase safe-haven demand — supporting gold.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has recently shown mixed buying and selling, indicating capital flows are not yet surging but also no longer experiencing heavy outflows. This is a neutral signal but slightly supportive of price stability.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the upcoming EU elections keep defensive capital flows active. These factors help support gold and limit the risk of deep declines.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is in a mild risk-off state, with capital shifting toward safe assets, though not strongly yet. This aligns with gold maintaining its base and having the potential to break out if key technical levels are breached.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Price is maintaining a long-term uptrend line from early November.
• A compression triangle pattern has been broken to the upside — a clear bullish signal.
• The 4,064 level is a key retest zone currently being tested.
• If this zone holds, upside targets will expand.
• RSI on the M30 timeframe is in a balanced zone, not overbought — favorable for further upside movement.
Conclusion: The trend leans bullish as long as price does not break below the trendline and the 4,029 zone.
RESISTANCE: 4,096 – 4,125 – 4,193
SUPPORT: 4,029 – 4,000 – 3,964
3. Yesterday’s Market (21/11/25):
• Gold fluctuated strongly from the 4,029 support area and bounced back along the trendline.
• Buyers dominated late in the session, setting up a foundation for today’s recovery.
• Volatility has been narrowing, signaling a potential breakout.
4. Strategy for Today (24/11/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4147 – 4145
SL: 4153
TP1: 4137
TP2: 4129
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 3964 – 3966
SL: 3960
TP1: 3972
TP2: 3978
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is stabilizing after a recent period of weakness as markets expect the Fed to maintain lower interest rates in 2025, reducing pressure on gold.
• US Stock Market:
U.S. equities are seeing slight corrections, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes. When stocks stall, gold often benefits.
• FED:
Recent weak economic data has increased expectations that the Fed will cut rates earlier in 2025. Any dovish signals from the Fed will support gold prices.
• TRUMP Administration:
The Trump administration is considering a new economic stimulus package and adjustments to import taxes. Protectionist-leaning policies may cause volatility in the USD, but generally increase safe-haven demand — supporting gold.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has recently shown mixed buying and selling, indicating capital flows are not yet surging but also no longer experiencing heavy outflows. This is a neutral signal but slightly supportive of price stability.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East and concerns about the upcoming EU elections keep defensive capital flows active. These factors help support gold and limit the risk of deep declines.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is in a mild risk-off state, with capital shifting toward safe assets, though not strongly yet. This aligns with gold maintaining its base and having the potential to break out if key technical levels are breached.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Price is maintaining a long-term uptrend line from early November.
• A compression triangle pattern has been broken to the upside — a clear bullish signal.
• The 4,064 level is a key retest zone currently being tested.
• If this zone holds, upside targets will expand.
• RSI on the M30 timeframe is in a balanced zone, not overbought — favorable for further upside movement.
Conclusion: The trend leans bullish as long as price does not break below the trendline and the 4,029 zone.
RESISTANCE: 4,096 – 4,125 – 4,193
SUPPORT: 4,029 – 4,000 – 3,964
3. Yesterday’s Market (21/11/25):
• Gold fluctuated strongly from the 4,029 support area and bounced back along the trendline.
• Buyers dominated late in the session, setting up a foundation for today’s recovery.
• Volatility has been narrowing, signaling a potential breakout.
4. Strategy for Today (24/11/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4147 – 4145
SL: 4153
TP1: 4137
TP2: 4129
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 3964 – 3966
SL: 3960
TP1: 3972
TP2: 3978
ノート
▫️Spot gold lost the $4,050/ounce mark, down 0.39% on the day.ノート
🔴The world's largest gold ETF -- SPDR Gold Trust, holds 0.29 tons more gold than the previous day, with current holdings at 1,040.86 tons.ノート
ノート
▫️Spot gold stood at $4,150/ounce, up 0.46% on the day.ノート
🔴Spot gold prices fell in the short term, falling below $4,150/ounce, down 0.34% on the day.
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📢 Sometimes signals appear on TradingView with a slight delay!
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
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関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。