金/米ドル
ショート

XAUUSD 4H — CHoCH Confirmed. Watching the Retracement Zone.

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Gold has printed a clean Change of Character on the 4H following rejection from the upper channel boundary and the swing high near 4,880.

Price is now pulling back into the OTE zone. Fibonacci confluence sits between the 0.236 and 0.382 — 4,840 down to 4,820. This is where the CAP Framework begins watching for Gate 2 and Gate 3 alignment.

RSI divergence was visible before the CHoCH printed. OI has been climbing through the move. Neither confirms a reversal. Both add weight to the case for a controlled retracement before continuation.

The channel structure remains intact. The trend is not broken. This is a pullback until the structure says otherwise.

Key levels:
0.236 — 4,855
0.295 — 4,845
0.382 — 4,835

Invalidation: Clean break and close below the ascending channel lower boundary.

No entry yet. Waiting for Gate 4 confirmation.

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