H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Updated alternative scenario.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and BOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal high and fractal low with CHoCH positioning denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line, however, I shall monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, thereafter, price to trade up to either premium of 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 4099.125.
Alternative scenario:
Price could print bullish iBOS due to H4 TF mitigating H4 supply zone which could potentially signal the end of H4 bearish pullback phase. You will note strong M15 internal high is currently being held.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The latest tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Updated alternative scenario.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and BOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal high and fractal low with CHoCH positioning denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line, however, I shall monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, thereafter, price to trade up to either premium of 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 4099.125.
Alternative scenario:
Price could print bullish iBOS due to H4 TF mitigating H4 supply zone which could potentially signal the end of H4 bearish pullback phase. You will note strong M15 internal high is currently being held.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The latest tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。