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Interest rates will fall and gold prices will go up.

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Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a dovish speech at the Jackson Hole conference, saying he was no longer too tough on the 2% inflation target, but more concerned about the risk of a slowing economy and a weakening labor market.

Economic data released over the weekend also reinforced this view. The US Commerce Department said the core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 2.9% in the 12 months through July, in line with market expectations.

“Gold is rising as the market starts to perceive the risk of high inflation coupled with weak growth,”

In addition to economic factors, politics are also a significant catalyst for gold. Tensions between President Donald Trump and the Fed are undermining confidence in the USD.

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