BRIAN XAUUSD – CPI IN-LINE, FED STILL HAWKISH: GOLD IS TRADING A VALUE-TO-SUPPLY ROTATION
US CPI printed in line with expectations, but the market’s hawkish Fed pricing hasn’t really shifted. The bigger issue is the oil shock linked to Iran-war risk wasn’t fully reflected in that CPI print, so the next few sessions can stay headline-sensitive: quick liquidity sweeps, then direction only confirms once price accepts above key value areas.
Technical Structure (45m)
Gold is recovering intraday, but it’s still trading below stacked supply zones. The clean edge is to trade Volume Profile value (POC/VAL) into supply (Sell POC), not the mid-range noise.
Key Volume Profile Levels
Buy POC (Core demand): 5094–5097
This is the main absorption area. If the market is truly rebuilding, buyers must defend this zone on pullbacks.
Sell scalping VAL (First supply / decision cap): 5205
This is the first meaningful resistance where rebounds often stall. Acceptance above it is required for continuation.
Sell Zone POC (Major distribution / heavy supply): upper zone
The marked Sell Zone POC above is the larger supply pocket. If price reaches it, expect stronger selling pressure and sharper reactions.
Overhead supply layers (upper boxes)
These are extension/supply targets above the Sell Zone POC—use them as profit-taking and reaction zones.
What I’m watching today
Bullish pathway
Hold 5094–5097 on dips
Reclaim 5205 and show acceptance
Rotate into the Sell Zone POC overhead
Bearish pathway
Rejection at 5205
Rotation back into value
A clean break below 5094–5097 increases downside risk
Execution rules
Buy only from value (5094–5097) or after acceptance above 5205
Sell only on clear rejection at supply (5205 / Sell Zone POC)
Avoid entries mid-range where stop-sweeps are common
If you want, I can also compress this into a short TradingView Mind version using the same levels.
US CPI printed in line with expectations, but the market’s hawkish Fed pricing hasn’t really shifted. The bigger issue is the oil shock linked to Iran-war risk wasn’t fully reflected in that CPI print, so the next few sessions can stay headline-sensitive: quick liquidity sweeps, then direction only confirms once price accepts above key value areas.
Technical Structure (45m)
Gold is recovering intraday, but it’s still trading below stacked supply zones. The clean edge is to trade Volume Profile value (POC/VAL) into supply (Sell POC), not the mid-range noise.
Key Volume Profile Levels
Buy POC (Core demand): 5094–5097
This is the main absorption area. If the market is truly rebuilding, buyers must defend this zone on pullbacks.
Sell scalping VAL (First supply / decision cap): 5205
This is the first meaningful resistance where rebounds often stall. Acceptance above it is required for continuation.
Sell Zone POC (Major distribution / heavy supply): upper zone
The marked Sell Zone POC above is the larger supply pocket. If price reaches it, expect stronger selling pressure and sharper reactions.
Overhead supply layers (upper boxes)
These are extension/supply targets above the Sell Zone POC—use them as profit-taking and reaction zones.
What I’m watching today
Bullish pathway
Hold 5094–5097 on dips
Reclaim 5205 and show acceptance
Rotate into the Sell Zone POC overhead
Bearish pathway
Rejection at 5205
Rotation back into value
A clean break below 5094–5097 increases downside risk
Execution rules
Buy only from value (5094–5097) or after acceptance above 5205
Sell only on clear rejection at supply (5205 / Sell Zone POC)
Avoid entries mid-range where stop-sweeps are common
If you want, I can also compress this into a short TradingView Mind version using the same levels.
🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
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これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
🔥 BrianLionCapital – Where Top Traders Unite
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
✅ Accurate signals & exclusive analysis: 10–15 signals daily with continuous market insights
⏳ Every minute you hesitate is a winning opportunity slipping away!
t.me/+PNA9TDWpr_80ZGQ1
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。