XAUUSD H4: Recovery Structure Is Building, Buyers Eye Higher Liquidity
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is showing a stronger recovery attempt after reacting from the weekly low area. The market is still sensitive to USD movement, inflation expectations, and risk sentiment, but the current price action shows that buyers are starting to defend the lower zone.
At this stage, the recovery is improving, but confirmation is still needed. If gold continues to hold above the current buy liquidity area, the upside structure may extend toward the next FVG and order block zones.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD recently swept the weekly low around 4,024 and then created a strong bullish reaction. This shows that buy-side demand appeared from the lower liquidity area.
Price is now trading around 4,218 and holding above the lower FVG support zone. The current buy liquidity area around 4,200 - 4,220 is important because it is supporting the short-term bullish recovery.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, gold may continue higher toward the next FVG around 4,280 - 4,330. A clean break above this area could open the way toward the sell-side liquidity at 4,364.
The next important upside zones are the +OB area around 4,455 - 4,480 and the higher OB zone around 4,560 - 4,590. These are the key resistance and reaction areas if the H4 recovery continues.
Key Price Zones
Current price: 4,218
Buy liquidity zone: 4,200 - 4,220
Lower FVG support: 4,120 - 4,170
Weekly low: 4,024
Nearest FVG target: 4,280 - 4,330
Sell-side liquidity: 4,364
+OB resistance zone: 4,455 - 4,480
Higher OB zone: 4,560 - 4,590
Bullish invalidation: Below 4,024
Trading Plan
Primary Scenario: Buy From Current Structure
Entry: 4,200 - 4,220 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,170
Take Profit 1: 4,280 - 4,330
Take Profit 2: 4,364
Take Profit 3: 4,455 - 4,480
Entry Conditions
Price holds above the 4,200 - 4,220 buy liquidity zone.
Buyers show clear bullish rejection from this area.
H4 structure continues to build higher lows.
Price should break above the nearest FVG zone with strength.
Avoid buying if price breaks and holds below 4,170.
Alternative Scenario: Buy From Deeper FVG
Entry: 4,120 - 4,170 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,024
Take Profit 1: 4,220
Take Profit 2: 4,280 - 4,330
Take Profit 3: 4,364
Buy Conditions
Price needs to pull back into the lower FVG support zone and show a strong bullish reaction. A bullish CHOCH or clear rejection on lower timeframe would make the setup cleaner. If price loses the weekly low at 4,024, this buy scenario becomes invalid.
Sell Scenario
Entry: Below 4,024 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,120
Take Profit 1: 3,980
Take Profit 2: 3,940
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Sell Conditions
A sell setup is not the priority right now. It only becomes valid if gold breaks below the weekly low at 4,024 and fails to reclaim it. This would show that the recovery structure has failed and sellers are returning to control.
Overall View
Gold is building a bullish recovery structure on the H4 timeframe after reacting from the weekly low. The main bias is now focused on buying pullbacks as long as price remains above 4,024.
The key buy area is 4,200 - 4,220, while the deeper support zone is 4,120 - 4,170. If buyers continue to defend these zones, gold may move toward 4,280 - 4,330, then 4,364 and 4,455 - 4,480.
Do you think gold will continue the H4 recovery toward 4,364 first, or retest the lower FVG before moving higher?
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is showing a stronger recovery attempt after reacting from the weekly low area. The market is still sensitive to USD movement, inflation expectations, and risk sentiment, but the current price action shows that buyers are starting to defend the lower zone.
At this stage, the recovery is improving, but confirmation is still needed. If gold continues to hold above the current buy liquidity area, the upside structure may extend toward the next FVG and order block zones.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD recently swept the weekly low around 4,024 and then created a strong bullish reaction. This shows that buy-side demand appeared from the lower liquidity area.
Price is now trading around 4,218 and holding above the lower FVG support zone. The current buy liquidity area around 4,200 - 4,220 is important because it is supporting the short-term bullish recovery.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, gold may continue higher toward the next FVG around 4,280 - 4,330. A clean break above this area could open the way toward the sell-side liquidity at 4,364.
The next important upside zones are the +OB area around 4,455 - 4,480 and the higher OB zone around 4,560 - 4,590. These are the key resistance and reaction areas if the H4 recovery continues.
Key Price Zones
Current price: 4,218
Buy liquidity zone: 4,200 - 4,220
Lower FVG support: 4,120 - 4,170
Weekly low: 4,024
Nearest FVG target: 4,280 - 4,330
Sell-side liquidity: 4,364
+OB resistance zone: 4,455 - 4,480
Higher OB zone: 4,560 - 4,590
Bullish invalidation: Below 4,024
Trading Plan
Primary Scenario: Buy From Current Structure
Entry: 4,200 - 4,220 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,170
Take Profit 1: 4,280 - 4,330
Take Profit 2: 4,364
Take Profit 3: 4,455 - 4,480
Entry Conditions
Price holds above the 4,200 - 4,220 buy liquidity zone.
Buyers show clear bullish rejection from this area.
H4 structure continues to build higher lows.
Price should break above the nearest FVG zone with strength.
Avoid buying if price breaks and holds below 4,170.
Alternative Scenario: Buy From Deeper FVG
Entry: 4,120 - 4,170 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,024
Take Profit 1: 4,220
Take Profit 2: 4,280 - 4,330
Take Profit 3: 4,364
Buy Conditions
Price needs to pull back into the lower FVG support zone and show a strong bullish reaction. A bullish CHOCH or clear rejection on lower timeframe would make the setup cleaner. If price loses the weekly low at 4,024, this buy scenario becomes invalid.
Sell Scenario
Entry: Below 4,024 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,120
Take Profit 1: 3,980
Take Profit 2: 3,940
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Sell Conditions
A sell setup is not the priority right now. It only becomes valid if gold breaks below the weekly low at 4,024 and fails to reclaim it. This would show that the recovery structure has failed and sellers are returning to control.
Overall View
Gold is building a bullish recovery structure on the H4 timeframe after reacting from the weekly low. The main bias is now focused on buying pullbacks as long as price remains above 4,024.
The key buy area is 4,200 - 4,220, while the deeper support zone is 4,120 - 4,170. If buyers continue to defend these zones, gold may move toward 4,280 - 4,330, then 4,364 and 4,455 - 4,480.
Do you think gold will continue the H4 recovery toward 4,364 first, or retest the lower FVG before moving higher?
📌 Owen Steele · XAUUSD · SMC · Order Blocks · Liquidity
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🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
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📌 Owen Steele · XAUUSD · SMC · Order Blocks · Liquidity
🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。