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XAUUSD: Everything Depends on This Trendline

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Price is now pressing right against the upper boundary of a falling wedge, a level that has repeatedly rejected every recovery attempt over the past few sessions. This trendline isn't just another resistance, it's the line separating a potential reversal from another leg lower.

This is exactly where the market has to make a decision.

And here's the key part:

If buyers can finally break above this trendline with conviction, the entire structure changes. A confirmed breakout would signal that selling pressure is fading and could quickly open the path toward the 4,080 resistance area.

BUT... if sellers defend this trendline once again, everything changes.

Another rejection here would keep the falling wedge intact and increase the probability of price rotating back toward the lower boundary near 3,960. When a resistance has been respected this many times, failed breakouts often lead to sharp pullbacks.

So right now, the market is sitting at a turning point.

A decisive breakout followed by acceptance above the trendline would be the confirmation buyers need.

In short:

👉 Break above the wedge → bullish continuation toward 4,080
👉 Rejection from the trendline → bearish move back toward 3,960

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