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XAUUSD Bullish or Bearish? Watching These 2 Key Levels

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Gold is at a massive crossroads, and the next move could define the year. While our macro bias remains firmly bullish with a target of $8,000–$10,000, the lower timeframes are showing a critical test of the VWAP First Deviation. 📉

Currently, XAUUSD has dipped below the first bullish deviation—a short-term bearish signal within a larger bullish structure. In this video, I break down my two primary Points of Interest (POI) for the next leg of our "Monster Trade." We are monitoring whether price reclaims the deviation level or pulls back into the VWAP mean for a deeper liquidity grab. 📈

We also dive into the Volume Profile, where price is currently range-bound. I’ll show you exactly how I use these high-volume nodes to scale into positions safely.

Inside this technical breakdown:

The VWAP Trap: Why being below the first deviation matters and how to trade the reclaim. 🛡️

The Monster Trade Blueprint: My systematic approach to scaling in, closing 50% at 1R, and letting the remaining 50% run for 50R targets.

Volume Profile Secrets: Identifying the range-bound exhaustion before the next vertical expansion.

Execution Discipline: How to build a "profit buffer" so you’re playing with the market's money. 💰

This strategy is about more than just entries; it's about the discipline to scale and the patience to wait for the market to confirm your bias.

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. This analysis is based on my personal strategy and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your own plan.

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