1. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is slightly weakening due to expectations that the FED will keep rates unchanged and may deliver more dovish signals in speeches this week.
• U.S. Stocks:
Wall Street inched higher last night, with the market leaning toward a risk-on sentiment, which usually weighs on gold. However, the gains were not strong → gold is not under heavy pressure.
• FED:
The FED continues to emphasize a “data-dependent” stance, but the market is starting to believe in the possibility of rate cuts in the coming months. This supports gold in the medium term.
• TRUMP Administration:
The new administration prioritizes economic recovery, deregulation, and tax cuts → which may stimulate the stock market, but geopolitical risks still linger → gold benefits whenever volatility rises.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has been buying and selling alternately with no clear trend. However, recent selling volume is not large → no major bearish pressure on gold. On Nov 24, the fund bought 0.29 tons—small, likely probing while waiting for upcoming news and market reactions.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved; additionally, U.S.–China trade competition still holds the potential for new conflicts → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is slightly risk-on, but within a narrow range and lacking strong momentum → reversal risks are always present.
The “waiting for FED this week” sentiment makes gold move more technically.
2. Technical Analysis:
The 30-minute timeframe gives extremely clear signals:
• Price has broken above the descending trendline extending from the Nov 17 high.
• A new uptrend (short- to medium-term) is forming.
• Extended targets if momentum holds: 4,244 – 4,276.
• RSI is in the mid-high zone but not overbought → still room for upside.
• MA20 has crossed above MA50 nicely, supporting the bullish trend.
Overall: Gold is likely retesting the breakout and continuing the upward trend.
RESISTANCE: 4,193 – 4,244 – 4,276
SUPPORT: 4,096 – 4,040 – 4,029 – 4,000
3. Previous Market Session:
• Gold surged strongly from the 4,040 zone, breaking the descending trendline and the ascending triangle.
• Price closed above all short-term EMAs → buying pressure dominates.
• Volume increased during the breakout → confirming the trend.
4. Strategy for Today (Nov 25, 2025):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4195 – 4193
SL: 4199
TP1: 4187
TP2: 4181
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4084 – 4086
SL: 4080
TP1: 4092
TP2: 4098
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is slightly weakening due to expectations that the FED will keep rates unchanged and may deliver more dovish signals in speeches this week.
• U.S. Stocks:
Wall Street inched higher last night, with the market leaning toward a risk-on sentiment, which usually weighs on gold. However, the gains were not strong → gold is not under heavy pressure.
• FED:
The FED continues to emphasize a “data-dependent” stance, but the market is starting to believe in the possibility of rate cuts in the coming months. This supports gold in the medium term.
• TRUMP Administration:
The new administration prioritizes economic recovery, deregulation, and tax cuts → which may stimulate the stock market, but geopolitical risks still linger → gold benefits whenever volatility rises.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has been buying and selling alternately with no clear trend. However, recent selling volume is not large → no major bearish pressure on gold. On Nov 24, the fund bought 0.29 tons—small, likely probing while waiting for upcoming news and market reactions.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved; additionally, U.S.–China trade competition still holds the potential for new conflicts → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is slightly risk-on, but within a narrow range and lacking strong momentum → reversal risks are always present.
The “waiting for FED this week” sentiment makes gold move more technically.
2. Technical Analysis:
The 30-minute timeframe gives extremely clear signals:
• Price has broken above the descending trendline extending from the Nov 17 high.
• A new uptrend (short- to medium-term) is forming.
• Extended targets if momentum holds: 4,244 – 4,276.
• RSI is in the mid-high zone but not overbought → still room for upside.
• MA20 has crossed above MA50 nicely, supporting the bullish trend.
Overall: Gold is likely retesting the breakout and continuing the upward trend.
RESISTANCE: 4,193 – 4,244 – 4,276
SUPPORT: 4,096 – 4,040 – 4,029 – 4,000
3. Previous Market Session:
• Gold surged strongly from the 4,040 zone, breaking the descending trendline and the ascending triangle.
• Price closed above all short-term EMAs → buying pressure dominates.
• Volume increased during the breakout → confirming the trend.
4. Strategy for Today (Nov 25, 2025):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4195 – 4193
SL: 4199
TP1: 4187
TP2: 4181
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4084 – 4086
SL: 4080
TP1: 4092
TP2: 4098
ノート
▫️Spot gold stood at $4,150/ounce, up 0.46% on the day.ノート
ノート
🔴Spot gold prices fell in the short term, falling below $4,150/ounce, down 0.34% on the day.
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📢 Sometimes signals appear on TradingView with a slight delay!
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。