Gold is starting the week with weaker momentum after failing to sustain above the 4720 resistance zone on H1.
Price is currently reacting below the intraday OB while liquidity continues building around the 4697–4721 FVG area.
At the same time, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming US inflation data and Fed expectations.
📊 Macro Update
Recent US data has been mixed:
• Labour market numbers remain relatively stable
• Inflation concerns are still elevated
• Treasury yields are holding firm
• Markets are reducing aggressive Fed cut expectations
This combination is keeping pressure on gold near higher prices, even while geopolitical risks continue supporting safe-haven demand.
📌 Technical Outlook — H1
Gold recently printed an MSS after rejecting the upper resistance zone.
Current structure suggests two possible scenarios:
🟡 Bullish Scenario
If buyers reclaim 4697–4721 and hold above the FVG zone, gold could revisit liquidity near 4740+ and potentially continue higher.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above 4680 may trigger deeper liquidity grabs toward the lower H1 imbalance zones:
• 4607–4579 major FVG demand
• Deeper sweep possible before any stronger recovery
At the moment, price action looks more corrective than impulsive, meaning volatility around US data could decide the next directional move.
💬 Is this just a temporary pullback before continuation…
or the beginning of a larger H1 distribution phase?
📊 Share your bias below — bullish or bearish this week?
Price is currently reacting below the intraday OB while liquidity continues building around the 4697–4721 FVG area.
At the same time, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming US inflation data and Fed expectations.
📊 Macro Update
Recent US data has been mixed:
• Labour market numbers remain relatively stable
• Inflation concerns are still elevated
• Treasury yields are holding firm
• Markets are reducing aggressive Fed cut expectations
This combination is keeping pressure on gold near higher prices, even while geopolitical risks continue supporting safe-haven demand.
📌 Technical Outlook — H1
Gold recently printed an MSS after rejecting the upper resistance zone.
Current structure suggests two possible scenarios:
🟡 Bullish Scenario
If buyers reclaim 4697–4721 and hold above the FVG zone, gold could revisit liquidity near 4740+ and potentially continue higher.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above 4680 may trigger deeper liquidity grabs toward the lower H1 imbalance zones:
• 4607–4579 major FVG demand
• Deeper sweep possible before any stronger recovery
At the moment, price action looks more corrective than impulsive, meaning volatility around US data could decide the next directional move.
💬 Is this just a temporary pullback before continuation…
or the beginning of a larger H1 distribution phase?
📊 Share your bias below — bullish or bearish this week?
トレード稼働中
Note: If the price breaks below 4648, it will likely return to the FVG zone (07-18).
Market Structure • Liquidity • Smart Money Concepts
Daily Gold Outlooks | Educational Content | Trading Insights
Daily Gold Outlooks | Educational Content | Trading Insights
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Market Structure • Liquidity • Smart Money Concepts
Daily Gold Outlooks | Educational Content | Trading Insights
Daily Gold Outlooks | Educational Content | Trading Insights
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。