📰 Fundamental News & Gold Price Action
Gold is recovering toward 4,328, but the market remains extremely cautious ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reported that Gold was up around 0.8% as investors awaited the Fed’s decision, while the market is currently pricing in approximately a 92.4% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. The USD is also holding near multi-week highs amid expectations that the Fed will maintain a tighter monetary policy stance.
→ Therefore, the FOMC decision, and especially Powell’s remarks and the dot plot, will be the biggest catalysts of the day, potentially triggering significant volatility in XAUUSD.
📊 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4,355 – 4,370
* This is an important supply zone on the chart.
* It is located near the long-term EMA around 4,362.
* The zone also sits below the descending trendline extending from the early-month high.
→ If price retraces into this zone and shows clear rejection, I would continue to prioritize SELL setups.
⚪ Zone: 4,315 – 4,305
* Price is currently trading around this area.
* It is located near the medium-term EMA around 4,306.
→ Since this zone is very close to the current price, the **risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)** is not particularly attractive. It is better suited for waiting for confirmation rather than chasing an entry.
🟢 BUY ZONE: 4,250 – 4,262
* This is a demand zone that has triggered multiple price reactions.
→ If Gold drops sharply into this area and forms a bullish rejection, a BUY setup could be considered.
→ If this zone is clearly broken, the bearish structure would be further reinforced.
📌 Summary
The H1 structure remains bearish, with 4,355–4,370 acting as a key SELL zone. The 4,315–4,305 area is too close to the current price, so the R:R is not particularly attractive. If Gold continues to decline, 4,250–4,262 will be an important BUY zone to watch.
👉 Key Levels: 4,365 / 4,350 / 4,325 / 4,300 / 4,260
Bias: 🔴 Bearish – prioritize SELL on rallies, but remain especially cautious ahead of the FOMC.
Gold is recovering toward 4,328, but the market remains extremely cautious ahead of today’s FOMC meeting. Reuters reported that Gold was up around 0.8% as investors awaited the Fed’s decision, while the market is currently pricing in approximately a 92.4% probability of a 25 bps rate hike. The USD is also holding near multi-week highs amid expectations that the Fed will maintain a tighter monetary policy stance.
→ Therefore, the FOMC decision, and especially Powell’s remarks and the dot plot, will be the biggest catalysts of the day, potentially triggering significant volatility in XAUUSD.
📊 Key Resistance Levels & EMAs
🔴 SELL ZONE: 4,355 – 4,370
* This is an important supply zone on the chart.
* It is located near the long-term EMA around 4,362.
* The zone also sits below the descending trendline extending from the early-month high.
→ If price retraces into this zone and shows clear rejection, I would continue to prioritize SELL setups.
⚪ Zone: 4,315 – 4,305
* Price is currently trading around this area.
* It is located near the medium-term EMA around 4,306.
→ Since this zone is very close to the current price, the **risk-to-reward ratio (R:R)** is not particularly attractive. It is better suited for waiting for confirmation rather than chasing an entry.
🟢 BUY ZONE: 4,250 – 4,262
* This is a demand zone that has triggered multiple price reactions.
→ If Gold drops sharply into this area and forms a bullish rejection, a BUY setup could be considered.
→ If this zone is clearly broken, the bearish structure would be further reinforced.
📌 Summary
The H1 structure remains bearish, with 4,355–4,370 acting as a key SELL zone. The 4,315–4,305 area is too close to the current price, so the R:R is not particularly attractive. If Gold continues to decline, 4,250–4,262 will be an important BUY zone to watch.
👉 Key Levels: 4,365 / 4,350 / 4,325 / 4,300 / 4,260
Bias: 🔴 Bearish – prioritize SELL on rallies, but remain especially cautious ahead of the FOMC.
トレード稼働中
On the H1 timeframe, the current structure still leans towards a bearish correction:- The price remains below the descending trendline.
- The EMAs are forming a bearish structure, with no clear signs of a reversal yet.
- The current upward move may simply be a pullback before the decline resumes, unless the 4,350–4,365 level is broken.
However, the FOMC event could completely disrupt the current technical structure, especially if the Fed delivers an unexpected dovish or hawkish message.
トレード終了: 利益確定目標に到達
According to the latest CNBC survey of 29 economists, fund managers, and strategists, 86% of respondents now forecast that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at least once over the next 12 months. This figure marks a sharp increase from the 46% recorded in last month's survey.ノート
Gold touch Zone Sell and downノート
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🌟A place for traders to exchange and learn
➡️Let join my group
🟡 Link to me: t.me/+vOBGcGFV4KVkOGM1
➡️Let join my group
🟡 Link to me: t.me/+vOBGcGFV4KVkOGM1
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。