GOLD - A bounce off support before falling to 4,200 ICMARKETS:XAUUSD remains under pressure from the Fed’s hawkish stance and a strengthening dollar. In the medium term, the market may maintain its bearish trend; however, this week, all attention is focused on the Fed’s rate decision and the regulator’s comments
The dollar is forming a countertrend correction but remains locally bearish. The dollar’s rise is putting additional pressure on the metals market. Gold is maintaining its bearish market structure amid the Fed’s hawkish stance, whil
Economic Cycles
Temporal Aspect of FractalityIn this publication, I would like to bring some clarity to the series of my unconventional analysis.
At this stage of my research I have no doubt that market's natural growth patterns can be defined by historic range and power exponents of Phi. Essentially, it's just two overall fib channels that cover structural boundaries of bullruns from ATH to new ATH mapped to bottom as 3rd coordinate. When we have angle of fibs derived from chronological highs, the ratios would cover the levels of oscillat
BTCUSD 1H — Bullish Rebound From SupportBTCUSD is showing a potential bullish reversal from the strong **$76,400–$76,700 support zone**. Price has reacted positively from this area, suggesting buyers are stepping in. A sustained move above the nearby **$77,200–$77,600 resistance** could strengthen the bullish setup and open the way toward higher levels.
**🎯 Target:** **$79,150**
**📍 Support:** $76,400–$76,700
**📈 Confirmation:** Break and hold above $77,600
**⚠️ Invalidation:** Strong breakdown below $76,400
$MSTR: Weekly Crossback + Daily BNB1 + 65m 3 Bar Play⚛️HTF Context 🔭
NASDAQ:MSTR is building constructive multi-timeframe continuation structure. On the Weekly chart, price has put in a Wedge Pop and is now working through a Crossback. That is the first meaningful pullback and retest phase after the impulsive move, and it can create a strong continuation location if support holds.
The Daily is beginning to form a BNB1, showing that price is consolidating rather than immediately giving back the prior expansion.
LTF Structure 🧱
On the 65m,
Gold 1H | Let the Structure Reveal the Next Wave⏱️ Reading time: ~3 minutes
🟦 Scenario 1: Bullish Case
The bullish case does not necessarily require price to move straight higher.
After the recent move, the market may develop a sideways corrective structure and continue moving within the projected range. This would allow the correction to become more complex or time-consuming without necessarily invalidating the larger bullish structure.
Here, time, degree, and the character of the correction are important.
⬛ Scenario 2: Bearish Case
The
XAUUSD: Major Support Confluence & Descending Liquidity RetestTechnical Analysis
Market Structure & Trendline Retest: Gold (XAUUSD Daily) completed a major structural breakout above its long-term Descending Resistance Trendline in August, accelerating toward the $4,600 supply zone. The subsequent pull-back represents a textbook descending liquidity sweep and retest of the broken trendline acting as new dynamic support.
Support Confluence Zone ($4,179 – $4,287): Price is compressing directly into a high-confluence demand cluster formed by:The top boundary
XAUUSD — Bearish Channel Toward 4,175
Gold is still moving inside a clear bearish channel after failing to reclaim the upper resistance trendline. From Kelly’s view, the chart suggests that XAUUSD remains under downside pressure, and the current recovery may only be a short correction before the next bearish wave continues.
The key idea is simple: gold is trading near the sell zone, and if buyers fail to break above this area, sellers may push price back toward lower support and the final target zone.
⟡ Market structure
Gold is
GOLD - A countertrend correction to 4,400 ahead of the newsICMARKETS:XAUUSD remains under pressure from a strengthening dollar and a weak fundamental backdrop. The market is making new intermediate lows within the 4,290–4,500 trading range. Key news is ahead…
The dollar is bouncing from support and returning to its bullish momentum, putting further pressure on the market. Gold is trading near its weekly lows, around $4,310, on Friday following a sharp decline triggered by hotter-than-expected PPI data and rising oil prices.
According to TD Securit
BITCOIN - A correction within a consolidation phaseBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P reached a new cycle high at 82,300, but still failed to reach the key target. The market remains in consolidation, within which a countertrend correction is developing
The fundamental backdrop remains unstable, but relatively favorable for the market. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin continues to consolidate within the current range. On September 15, the Senate is scheduled to hold another vote on the CLARITY Act.
The market has been range-bound between 76,400 and 81,300 fo
Crude Oil | When Structure Speaks Before the Move⏱️ Reading Time: About 2 Minutes
In our previous crude oil analyses, the goal was never to predict price or choose a fixed direction. Instead, we focused on understanding the structure the market was building.
One of the key possibilities we were tracking was the potential completion of a larger-degree Wave (II). Rather than simply taking a bullish or bearish stance, we waited for the market to reveal the character of its next move.
As the new movement developed, lower timeframes began showin
S&P 500 | Wave III: More Upside or a Major Pause?Reading time: about 2 minutes
This chart analyzes the long-term behavior of the S&P 500 through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle.
In this count, the larger market advance from the 2009 low is viewed as an impulsive structure. The 2020 correction is labeled as Wave II, followed by the development of Wave III — a wave that often represents the strongest part of an impulsive sequence.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish scenario, Wave III may not be complete yet, and its internal structure co
NQ Weekly Outlook: Mixed Again? | 14–18 Sep 2026The Fringe Cycles model read for 14–18 September suggests another mixed weekly structure for NQ, with weakness early in the week, a positive mid-week phase, and a return to negative bias into Thursday and Friday.
This outlook is based on the NQ Globex session, not just regular cash-session price action. Each daily bias applies approximately from 18:30 Eastern on the previous evening through 15:30 Eastern on the stated trading day.
Daily Model Expectations:
Monday, 14 Sep: Negative
Monday star
Episode 07 — The Moment the Market Revealed Its Language🎬 Mr. Nobody’s Chronicle
Season I — The History of Elliott Wave Principle
Episode 07 — The Moment the Market Revealed Its Language
⏱️ Reading time: ~3 minutes
“Sometimes, the greatest discoveries do not begin with an answer... but with the right question.”
After years of studying market charts, one question continued to occupy Ralph Nelson Elliott’s mind:
Why do certain market movements, despite appearing at different times and price levels, seem to share a remarkable similarity?
For many pe
Bitcoin Weekly | Two Macro Paths⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes
Hey everyone,
This weekly analysis takes a long-term look at Bitcoin’s structure. At this stage, I think it’s better to keep more than one interpretation open and let the market reveal more of its internal structure before choosing one count with confidence.
🟦 Scenario 1 | Leading Expanding Diagonal
One possible long-term interpretation is that Bitcoin’s entire macro structure could eventually be viewed as a Leading Expanding Diagonal on the linear chart.
If this
ETH/USD | The Hidden Structure of Wave VETH/USD | The Fifth Wave Reveals Its Structure
⏱️ Reading Time: ~2 minutes
Ethereum, at its largest historical degree, may still be completing a very large corrective structure. In this revised count, the main focus is on the behavior of Waves (I) through (IV) and the change in price personality that followed.
After Wave (IV), the lower-degree structure may be developing as an Impulse within Wave (V). An important point is that Wave III is shorter than Wave I, meaning Wave V can also be short
BNB | The Next Wave?⏱️ Reading Time: ~3 minutes
The weekly BNB chart, shown on a Linear scale rather than a logarithmic scale, is at a point where the larger structure still does not give us a definitive answer. However, two very different paths can be followed from the structure currently developing.
The key question here is not simply whether BNB will go up or down. The more important question is whether the current move is building a new impulsive wave or is still part of a larger corrective structure.
🟦 Scen
SMCI: The server king returns. Cisco opens a second doorSuper Micro Computer NASDAQ:SMCI again looks far more interesting from a fundamental standpoint than the chart alone might suggest. After a prolonged downtrend, the stock is attempting to form a reversal structure, and price is now around $40.10. The main support zone sits in the $29 to $33 range. That remains the key area buyers must defend. Above, the first serious resistance zone is around $54.73 to $58.05. A breakout there could open the door to $68.05 and then $80.73. The all-time high i
ARC: Weekly VCP, Daily Launchpad. ⚛️HTF Context 🔭
ARC is building one of the cleaner higher-timeframe structures on my watchlist.
The weekly chart has spent months repairing its prior decline, then established a series of higher lows and began compressing beneath the key $0.083 to $0.084 resistance area. Volatility has contracted, volume has faded during the base, and price is holding above the rising weekly structure.
This resembles the early-stage behavior seen in many prior large-cycle winners: an extended repair phase
Dynamic Structural AnalysisTraders eventually discover two structural concepts: swing structure and internal structure. What often gets missed is that these two are not separate tools used side by side — they are one continuous, repeating cycle, and understanding the cycle is what makes structural analysis dynamic rather than a fixed set of lines on a chart.
The Break Starts the Discovery
Once a swing high or a swing low breaks, price enters price discovery. That price discovery move is internal structure — its own tr























