OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Silver Risk Management outperformed Buy & Hold
This strategy starts from a very direct idea
Stay long silver by default
step aside when risk starts to build
and step back in when structure and macro conditions calm down
Silver can reward patience, but it also has a habit of violent flushes
That is why this model does not try to predict every move
It only tries to manage exposure when pressure becomes visible
The model uses three layers
1. Silver structure
A slow EMA helps identify broader trend damage
2. Macro pressure
US10Y stress is used as the main macro exit filter
3. Flush protection
Large downside moves and volatility shocks can trigger an exit or delay re entry
The strategy also includes its own Buy and Hold benchmark from the same start date
That keeps the comparison cleaner than relying only on TradingView’s default Buy and Hold line
With the current conservative test settings
Commission: 0.10%
Slippage: 2
Start date: 2021 01 01
Benchmark start: first available daily bar after that date
The backtest currently shows the strategy outperforming its own Buy and Hold benchmark by 147% points
Strategy return: 326%
Own Buy and Hold: 179%
Max equity drawdown: 16%
Profit factor: 3.7
Total trades: 37
The goal is not to prove that silver can be timed perfectly
The goal is to study whether silver’s violent flushes create more room for risk managed exposure than passive holding
This is a backtest and research tool
It is not a buy or sell signal
and it is not financial advice
Stay long silver by default
step aside when risk starts to build
and step back in when structure and macro conditions calm down
Silver can reward patience, but it also has a habit of violent flushes
That is why this model does not try to predict every move
It only tries to manage exposure when pressure becomes visible
The model uses three layers
1. Silver structure
A slow EMA helps identify broader trend damage
2. Macro pressure
US10Y stress is used as the main macro exit filter
3. Flush protection
Large downside moves and volatility shocks can trigger an exit or delay re entry
The strategy also includes its own Buy and Hold benchmark from the same start date
That keeps the comparison cleaner than relying only on TradingView’s default Buy and Hold line
With the current conservative test settings
Commission: 0.10%
Slippage: 2
Start date: 2021 01 01
Benchmark start: first available daily bar after that date
The backtest currently shows the strategy outperforming its own Buy and Hold benchmark by 147% points
Strategy return: 326%
Own Buy and Hold: 179%
Max equity drawdown: 16%
Profit factor: 3.7
Total trades: 37
The goal is not to prove that silver can be timed perfectly
The goal is to study whether silver’s violent flushes create more room for risk managed exposure than passive holding
This is a backtest and research tool
It is not a buy or sell signal
and it is not financial advice
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、このスクリプトの作者はコードをオープンソースとして公開してくれました。トレーダーが内容を確認・検証できるようにという配慮です。作者に拍手を送りましょう！無料で利用できますが、コードの再公開はハウスルールに従う必要があります。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、このスクリプトの作者はコードをオープンソースとして公開してくれました。トレーダーが内容を確認・検証できるようにという配慮です。作者に拍手を送りましょう！無料で利用できますが、コードの再公開はハウスルールに従う必要があります。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。