OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Man on the Street (MonS) Index - K Shaped Economy Chart
This index, which I’m calling the Man on the Street (MonS) Index, is designed to track the "K-Shaped" divergence between the high-flying stock market and the lived reality of the American consumer.
While the major indices are driven by a handful of tech giants, the MonS Index monitors ten "canaries in the coal mine" across two critical pillars of the real economy:
Section 1: Discretionary Habits (The Wallet Test) DPZ / SBUX / CMG: The ultimate proxies for "stomach share." If consumers cut their $7 latte or $15 bowl, the discretionary squeeze is real.
STZ (Modelo/Corona): Tracks "vice" spending—usually the last habit to go.
ULTA: Monitors the "Lipstick Effect"—where shoppers buy small luxuries when they can't afford big ones.
Section 1: Mid-Market Reality (The Structural Test) WHR (Whirlpool): A high-conviction "big-ticket" signal. If people stop replacing appliances, the consumer is tapped out.
CTAS (Cintas): Tracks workforce health. If fewer uniforms and mats are being delivered, people aren't at work.
FL / KSS: Traditional mid-tier retail. These track the hollowing out of the middle-class shopper.
BBY (Best Buy): The "wait until next year" gauge for high-end tech and home theater.
The Thesis: We are looking for a "Snap Back." When the MonS Index sags while the SPY/QQQ stays vertical, it signals a mechanical disconnect that eventually must resolve. We stay in cash and wait for the "Pixels" to meet the "Pavement."
While the major indices are driven by a handful of tech giants, the MonS Index monitors ten "canaries in the coal mine" across two critical pillars of the real economy:
Section 1: Discretionary Habits (The Wallet Test) DPZ / SBUX / CMG: The ultimate proxies for "stomach share." If consumers cut their $7 latte or $15 bowl, the discretionary squeeze is real.
STZ (Modelo/Corona): Tracks "vice" spending—usually the last habit to go.
ULTA: Monitors the "Lipstick Effect"—where shoppers buy small luxuries when they can't afford big ones.
Section 1: Mid-Market Reality (The Structural Test) WHR (Whirlpool): A high-conviction "big-ticket" signal. If people stop replacing appliances, the consumer is tapped out.
CTAS (Cintas): Tracks workforce health. If fewer uniforms and mats are being delivered, people aren't at work.
FL / KSS: Traditional mid-tier retail. These track the hollowing out of the middle-class shopper.
BBY (Best Buy): The "wait until next year" gauge for high-end tech and home theater.
The Thesis: We are looking for a "Snap Back." When the MonS Index sags while the SPY/QQQ stays vertical, it signals a mechanical disconnect that eventually must resolve. We stay in cash and wait for the "Pixels" to meet the "Pavement."
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オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、このスクリプトの作者はコードをオープンソースとして公開してくれました。トレーダーが内容を確認・検証できるようにという配慮です。作者に拍手を送りましょう！無料で利用できますが、コードの再公開はハウスルールに従う必要があります。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。