[blackcat] L2 Kondratieff Wave Macro Cycle
█ OVERVIEW
This indicator maps the four seasons of the Kondratieff long wave (the 50-60 year economic cycle) onto your chart as a colored regime background. A live status table shows the current wave number, phase, progress and the long-horizon allocation bias of each season — a macro context layer for strategic thinking, not a timing tool.
█ CONCEPTS
The Kondratieff Wave is a long-cycle framework describing 50-60 year swings in prices, interest rates and technology deployment. Each wave is read as four seasons:
• Spring (Recovery): new technologies reach industrial scale, growth assets re-rate
• Summer (Prosperity): diffusion broadens, equities and trend assets lead
• Autumn (Recession): growth slows while prices stay elevated; real assets shine
• Winter (Depression): deleveraging dominates; capital preservation is key
The script ships with a consensus academic timeline (1780-2080) split into consecutive seasonal windows. Bars are colored by the season their year falls in, so an ultra-long history such as
SPX (data back to 1871) reads as a sequence of macro regimes at a glance.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Load the indicator on a yearly (1Y) or quarterly (3M) chart; lower timeframes work but add noise. The Chart TF table row tells you whether the current timeframe is ideal.
2 — Read the background color to see which season each bar belongs to.
3 — Use the status table: Wave (number, phase 1-4), Current Phase, Progress (10-block bar + %), Phase Window, Next Phase countdown, Macro Bias and Chart TF check.
4 — If you follow a different chronology school, the phase years sit in one clearly commented block of the source and are easy to adjust.
Input Parameters
• Phase Color Settings: one color per season (defaults teal/green/orange/red, 85 transparency)
• Mark Historical Phase Transitions: toggles seasonal boundary labels (default on)
• Show Current Phase Label: live phase label on the last bar (default on)
• Show Status Table / Table Position: dashboard toggle and corner placement
█ FEATURES
• Four-season regime background, fully customizable colors
• Enhanced 8-row status dashboard with unicode progress bar and next-phase countdown
• Historical phase transition markers, wave starts emphasized
• Phase change alertcondition for regime shifts
• Out-of-range year warning instead of a silently blank table
█ VISUAL ELEMENTS
• Background fill: seasonal regime color of each bar's year
• Labels below bar: seasonal transitions; the diamond prefix marks a full wave start
• Label above last bar: current phase name
• Macro Bias row: the classic long-cycle allocation tilt per season (growth, equities, real assets, preservation)
█ IMPLEMENTATION NOTES
Open source. A user-defined type holds each window (start/end year, label, season key, color). Each bar's year is matched against the timeline once; an edge detector compares the matched index with the previous bar's, so transition markers and the alert fire exactly once per regime change. The dashboard is var-managed and refreshed only on the last bar. No request.security, no repainting.
█ LIMITATIONS
• Kondratieff dating is school-dependent; the built-in grid is a consensus approximation, not a fact
• Phases beyond the present are projections and will be revised by future research
• This is a strategic regime overlay: it generates no buy/sell signals and has no short-term timing value
• On intraday or daily charts the background still works but the tool's meaning degrades — use 1Y or 3M
█ NOTES
• Best paired with long-history symbols such asSPX, gold or long bond series
• Educational tool for macro context. Not investment advice.
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
For questions or feedback, please use the comments section below.
Feel free to use and modify — attribution appreciated.
This indicator maps the four seasons of the Kondratieff long wave (the 50-60 year economic cycle) onto your chart as a colored regime background. A live status table shows the current wave number, phase, progress and the long-horizon allocation bias of each season — a macro context layer for strategic thinking, not a timing tool.
█ CONCEPTS
The Kondratieff Wave is a long-cycle framework describing 50-60 year swings in prices, interest rates and technology deployment. Each wave is read as four seasons:
• Spring (Recovery): new technologies reach industrial scale, growth assets re-rate
• Summer (Prosperity): diffusion broadens, equities and trend assets lead
• Autumn (Recession): growth slows while prices stay elevated; real assets shine
• Winter (Depression): deleveraging dominates; capital preservation is key
The script ships with a consensus academic timeline (1780-2080) split into consecutive seasonal windows. Bars are colored by the season their year falls in, so an ultra-long history such as
SPX (data back to 1871) reads as a sequence of macro regimes at a glance.█ HOW TO USE
1 — Load the indicator on a yearly (1Y) or quarterly (3M) chart; lower timeframes work but add noise. The Chart TF table row tells you whether the current timeframe is ideal.
2 — Read the background color to see which season each bar belongs to.
3 — Use the status table: Wave (number, phase 1-4), Current Phase, Progress (10-block bar + %), Phase Window, Next Phase countdown, Macro Bias and Chart TF check.
4 — If you follow a different chronology school, the phase years sit in one clearly commented block of the source and are easy to adjust.
Input Parameters
• Phase Color Settings: one color per season (defaults teal/green/orange/red, 85 transparency)
• Mark Historical Phase Transitions: toggles seasonal boundary labels (default on)
• Show Current Phase Label: live phase label on the last bar (default on)
• Show Status Table / Table Position: dashboard toggle and corner placement
█ FEATURES
• Four-season regime background, fully customizable colors
• Enhanced 8-row status dashboard with unicode progress bar and next-phase countdown
• Historical phase transition markers, wave starts emphasized
• Phase change alertcondition for regime shifts
• Out-of-range year warning instead of a silently blank table
█ VISUAL ELEMENTS
• Background fill: seasonal regime color of each bar's year
• Labels below bar: seasonal transitions; the diamond prefix marks a full wave start
• Label above last bar: current phase name
• Macro Bias row: the classic long-cycle allocation tilt per season (growth, equities, real assets, preservation)
█ IMPLEMENTATION NOTES
Open source. A user-defined type holds each window (start/end year, label, season key, color). Each bar's year is matched against the timeline once; an edge detector compares the matched index with the previous bar's, so transition markers and the alert fire exactly once per regime change. The dashboard is var-managed and refreshed only on the last bar. No request.security, no repainting.
█ LIMITATIONS
• Kondratieff dating is school-dependent; the built-in grid is a consensus approximation, not a fact
• Phases beyond the present are projections and will be revised by future research
• This is a strategic regime overlay: it generates no buy/sell signals and has no short-term timing value
• On intraday or daily charts the background still works but the tool's meaning degrades — use 1Y or 3M
█ NOTES
• Best paired with long-history symbols such as
SPX, gold or long bond series• Educational tool for macro context. Not investment advice.
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
For questions or feedback, please use the comments section below.
Feel free to use and modify — attribution appreciated.
Don't miss out! The first and most important thing to do is to join my Discord chat now! Click here to start your adventure: discord.com/invite/ZTGpQJq My new github for more pine development soon: github.com/wxt-coder
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
Don't miss out! The first and most important thing to do is to join my Discord chat now! Click here to start your adventure: discord.com/invite/ZTGpQJq My new github for more pine development soon: github.com/wxt-coder
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。