Since 2009, Airbus has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel. Following the sharp market selloff in 2020 triggered by COVID-19 pandemic, the stock declined by approximately 65%. Despite this, Airbus ,being fundamentally strong, managed to fully recover to pre-COVID levels.
Since then, price action has established a new ascending channel with an identical gradient to the pre-COVID structure, indicating that the long-term rate of growth remains unchanged.
Structurally, Airbus operates in a highly attractive duopolistic industry alongside Boeing, and continues to gain market share, reinforcing its competitive positioning.
In 2024 and 2025, the stock formed a double top near the upper bound of the channel, leading to a pullback toward channel support. However, during 2025, Airbus reported a record backlog, supported by strong aircraft demand and improving airline profitability, providing clear revenue visibility over the next 7–10 years.
In January 2026, the stock corrected once again upon reaching channel resistance. This move, combined with macroeconomic uncertainty, triggered a healthy phase of profit-taking rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
Currently, the stock is testing the horizontal resistance formed by the prior double top. A confirmed weekly close above this level would signal a structural breakout and a shift beyond the established channel range.
Given the structurally bullish outlook for the aerospace sector, supported by long-term demand growth, limited competition, and increasing global air travel, we believe Airbus is well-positioned for continued upside. At current levels, the stock presents an attractive opportunity, particularly if the breakout is confirmed.
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Since then, price action has established a new ascending channel with an identical gradient to the pre-COVID structure, indicating that the long-term rate of growth remains unchanged.
Structurally, Airbus operates in a highly attractive duopolistic industry alongside Boeing, and continues to gain market share, reinforcing its competitive positioning.
In 2024 and 2025, the stock formed a double top near the upper bound of the channel, leading to a pullback toward channel support. However, during 2025, Airbus reported a record backlog, supported by strong aircraft demand and improving airline profitability, providing clear revenue visibility over the next 7–10 years.
In January 2026, the stock corrected once again upon reaching channel resistance. This move, combined with macroeconomic uncertainty, triggered a healthy phase of profit-taking rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
Currently, the stock is testing the horizontal resistance formed by the prior double top. A confirmed weekly close above this level would signal a structural breakout and a shift beyond the established channel range.
Given the structurally bullish outlook for the aerospace sector, supported by long-term demand growth, limited competition, and increasing global air travel, we believe Airbus is well-positioned for continued upside. At current levels, the stock presents an attractive opportunity, particularly if the breakout is confirmed.
If you enjoyed reading our idea please support by boosting and follow to not miss any future publishments 🚀🚀🚀
Vassilis Kairaktidis
Initium Asset Management
Initium Asset Management
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
Vassilis Kairaktidis
Initium Asset Management
Initium Asset Management
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.