BTCUSD is showing a solid recovery on the H4 timeframe after sweeping down into the 74,000–75,000 zone. Price has now returned toward 77,300 and moved back above the short-term EMA, showing that short-term buying pressure is starting to return.
However, I still do not see this as a confirmed full reversal. The 77,700–78,000 zone remains a key resistance area because price is now approaching the larger EMA and an old supply zone. This area could decide Bitcoin’s next move.
My preferred scenario is that BTC first tests the 77,700–78,000 resistance zone, then pulls back slightly toward 76,500–76,000 to retest buyer strength. If this support holds, Bitcoin could continue recovering toward 79,000, with 80,000–81,000 becoming the next upside area.
With the current structure, I would not rush to buy directly into resistance. The key is to wait for BTC to retest support and show clearer buying pressure before trusting the recovery continuation.
However, I still do not see this as a confirmed full reversal. The 77,700–78,000 zone remains a key resistance area because price is now approaching the larger EMA and an old supply zone. This area could decide Bitcoin’s next move.
My preferred scenario is that BTC first tests the 77,700–78,000 resistance zone, then pulls back slightly toward 76,500–76,000 to retest buyer strength. If this support holds, Bitcoin could continue recovering toward 79,000, with 80,000–81,000 becoming the next upside area.
With the current structure, I would not rush to buy directly into resistance. The key is to wait for BTC to retest support and show clearer buying pressure before trusting the recovery continuation.
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