Long

BTC - Ascending Triangle | Liquidity Sweep Before Breakout?

Executive Summary

Bitcoin is trading at $90,529 on the first trading day of 2026, testing the upper resistance of an ascending triangle on the 4H timeframe. Price has rallied +2% today as dip buyers stepped in aggressively. The structure suggests a short-term pullback to sweep liquidity below $88K before breaking the ascending pattern and bursting higher.

BIAS: BULLISH - Short-Term Dip, Then Breakout

Current Market Data

Current: $90,529 (+1.98%)
Day's Range: $88,309 - $90,927
October Peak: $126,000
Key Support: $86,000-$88,000
Fear & Greed Index: 36 (Fear → improving)

What's Driving the Rally

"January Effect" - Tax-loss selling ended, capital redeploying
Whale accumulation visible on-chain
Open interest up 2% to $130B - leveraged bulls entering
$217.82M in shorts liquidated in 24 hours
Meme coins rallying (PEPE +32%) - risk-on returning
Fed rate cuts expected by March

Key News Context

Bitcoin's four-year cycle officially broken - first red post-halving year
ETF effect pulled liquidity forward into 2024
BlackRock deposited 1,134 BTC ($101.4M) to Binance - bearish signal
But whales reducing exchange deposits - bullish signal
Zero Bitcoin obituaries in 2025 - first time since Satoshi era

Technical Structure - 4H

Ascending Triangle Pattern:

Rising support trendline (yellow dashed) - higher lows
Horizontal resistance at $90,000-$90,500 (pink zone)
Price compressing toward apex
Typically bullish breakout pattern (70%+)

Key Levels:

Resistance:

$90,000 - $90,500 - Horizontal resistance (pink zone)
$93,000 - $93,200 - Upper target zone
$100,000 - Psychological level

Support:

$88,000 - CME gap zone ($87,800-$88,000)
$86,000 - $86,500 - Major support zone (pink)
$84,000 - $84,500 - Deep support / liquidity pool

Liquidity Analysis

Heavy liquidation clusters below $88,000
More intense bands near $86,000 and $84,500
CME gap at $87,800-$88,000 - likely to be filled
Thin resistance between $91,000-$94,000 if breakout occurs

SCENARIO ANALYSIS

PRIMARY: Liquidity Sweep Then Breakout

Short-term dip to $86,000-$88,000 to sweep liquidity
Fill CME gap at $87,800-$88,000
Bounce off ascending trendline support
Break above $90,500 resistance
Target $93,000-$94,000, then $100,000

BULLISH: Direct Breakout

Trigger: 4H close above $90,500 with volume
Targets: $93,000 → $94,000 → $100,000

BEARISH: Triangle Breakdown

Trigger: Break below $86,000 and ascending trendline
Targets: $84,500 → $83,000 → $80,000

My Assessment

Ascending triangle at resistance with liquidity pools below. Expect short-term dip to sweep $86K-$88K liquidity, fill CME gap, then break ascending pattern and burst higher. Risk-on sentiment returning, whale accumulation, and January Effect support bullish thesis.

Strategy:

Wait for dip to $86,000-$88,000 zone
Long on bounce with stop below $84,500
Target $93,000-$94,000, then $100,000
Or long on confirmed breakout above $90,500

Drop your comments below on what you think is the NEXT MOVE!

officialjackofalltrades

The AI Trading Ecosystem, Built to win trades 📈

Get Full Access 👇

jackofalltrades.vip 🌐

t.me/jackofalltradesvip 🃏

또한 다음에서도:

면책사항

해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.

officialjackofalltrades

The AI Trading Ecosystem, Built to win trades 📈

Get Full Access 👇

jackofalltrades.vip 🌐

t.me/jackofalltradesvip 🃏

또한 다음에서도: