BTC experienced a sharp rejection from the 77-78k resistance zone, breaking below short-term moving averages and falling into a major support area around 61.8k-63.6k.
Key Observations
61.8k-63.6k is a critical support cluster and aligns with the rising long-term trendline.
Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold, suggesting a relief bounce is increasingly likely. RSI Crossover on the daily.
MACD remains bearish, so any bounce should initially be viewed as a counter-trend rally rather than a confirmed reversal.
Volume Profile shows a low-volume gap above current price, which could allow a relatively quick move higher if buyers step in.
Potential Scenario
Hold support (61.8k-63.6k) → short-covering rally toward 66.9k (Point 1).
Break and close above 66.9k → extension to 70.9k (Point 2).
Reclaim 77.9k → trend recovery with potential move toward 87.5k (Point 3).
Risk
If BTC loses 61.8k on a daily closing basis, the bullish trendline fails and the next major support zone lies considerably lower, opening the door for a deeper correction.
Conclusion
The chart currently favors a technical bounce from support, but confirmation requires reclaiming 66.9k first. Until then, the broader structure remains cautious-to-bearish after the strong rejection from 77k.
Key Observations
61.8k-63.6k is a critical support cluster and aligns with the rising long-term trendline.
Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold, suggesting a relief bounce is increasingly likely. RSI Crossover on the daily.
MACD remains bearish, so any bounce should initially be viewed as a counter-trend rally rather than a confirmed reversal.
Volume Profile shows a low-volume gap above current price, which could allow a relatively quick move higher if buyers step in.
Potential Scenario
Hold support (61.8k-63.6k) → short-covering rally toward 66.9k (Point 1).
Break and close above 66.9k → extension to 70.9k (Point 2).
Reclaim 77.9k → trend recovery with potential move toward 87.5k (Point 3).
Risk
If BTC loses 61.8k on a daily closing basis, the bullish trendline fails and the next major support zone lies considerably lower, opening the door for a deeper correction.
Conclusion
The chart currently favors a technical bounce from support, but confirmation requires reclaiming 66.9k first. Until then, the broader structure remains cautious-to-bearish after the strong rejection from 77k.
액티브 트레이드
Reclaiming 66.9 K 거래청산: 타겟 닿음
First Target reached노트
Next target --> 70.8K노트
Tested Support 63'619 , ready for the next leg
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.