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๐Ÿ”ฅ Thought Experiment Update: Break Out

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Recently I posted a chart of the inverse chart of Bitcoin. The chart and corresponding analysis led to some interesting comments and discussions, see below.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Thought Experiment: Would You Buy This Chart?


The prior analysis ended up correct, and we saw a 35% rise in value since the last analysis. The ascending triangle broke out and we're currently in a strong bullish trend.

In my view, there's little to stop this trend until we reach the top dotted resistance line. This would bring BTC to a value of (give or take) $11k.

The $11k area is in line with my worst-case scenario for BTC, which is an 85% drop. 85% is important because we've dropped around 85% from high to (bear market) low in the last cycles.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Bitcoin Can Fall Much Further. Here's Why.


Looking at the inverse chart of BTC might offer a different perspective of the market, which is always useful.

๋ฉด์ฑ…์‚ฌํ•ญ

ํ•ด๋‹น ์ •๋ณด์™€ ๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋ฌผ์€ ๊ธˆ์œต, ํˆฌ์ž, ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”ฉ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ธฐํƒ€ ์œ ํ˜•์˜ ์กฐ์–ธ์ด๋‚˜ ๊ถŒ์žฅ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ„์ฃผ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”ฉ๋ทฐ์—์„œ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ๋ณด์ฆํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์ด์šฉ ์•ฝ๊ด€์„ ์ฐธ์กฐํ•˜์„ธ์š”.