Is having a stop loss in the crypto market embarrassing? This isn't just a question—it's a new trading style that's become trendy and has pulled the culture of young crypto traders right into its orbit... a culture without responsibility that wants to escape reality and market principles, chasing higher profits and loftier positions. A culture where 5% monthly profit is laughable to them, and they won't settle for anything less than 50% to 100% gains.
Let's see what happens to this minority in just the past few weeks with this ideology: On October 10, a 16% drop (they get liquidated and wiped out of the market). On September 22, with that long squeeze candle, a 4.30% drop (wiped out for the second time). On November 3 and 4, a 10% drop (wiped out for the third time :))
That said, a huge crowd usually floods the market right before accumulation phases or trend changes (when big investors need liquidity), and after supplying that liquidity, they get wiped out too... I haven't found a precise indicator yet for when these folks show up—if you've got one, comment below; maybe I'll write a script for it myself. But the point is, after these people get liquidated, we usually enter an accumulation phase, followed by a trend reversal. Long squeeze and short squeeze candles are great examples for spotting these crowds, and then you can expect ranging, followed by the trend change.
In the 4H timeframe, we've relatively shifted the range—hopefully forming a higher high and higher low above 104,862.71. A break of 106,542.82 in the 4H timeframe could be our first trigger for a trend change in this leg. But the main trigger is breaking the resistance at 111,287.45, since this resistance is what triggered the reaction that formed the lower low at 100,503.60—so it's hugely important, and breaking it would put Bitcoin back into uptrend mode.
+ The probability of the US government shutdown ending has hit 84% on Polymarket. Actually, that's what drove the growth in recent days... You might think it's weird—like, shouldn't we grow after good news? I say no, the market moves based on expectations, not news or anything else... Does the expectation say the US government will reopen? Okay, let's grow—that's it.
+ A super important point: Trump officially announced that every American (except high earners) will get $2,000. Something like those stimulus checks during COVID in 2020! Remember that?
And what I'm saying here impacts daily and weekly timeframes, not 4H... So if you're trading in lower timeframes, no need to pay attention to this stuff—per your strategy, if it signals long, open long; if we dump from here and go below 104k, hunt for shorts :) Easy.
If you like these multi-faceted, educational analyses, definitely follow—it's crazy we're still under 1,000. We need a bigger community to pull off even bigger things. Thanks for your attention—till next time, peace out.
Let's see what happens to this minority in just the past few weeks with this ideology: On October 10, a 16% drop (they get liquidated and wiped out of the market). On September 22, with that long squeeze candle, a 4.30% drop (wiped out for the second time). On November 3 and 4, a 10% drop (wiped out for the third time :))
That said, a huge crowd usually floods the market right before accumulation phases or trend changes (when big investors need liquidity), and after supplying that liquidity, they get wiped out too... I haven't found a precise indicator yet for when these folks show up—if you've got one, comment below; maybe I'll write a script for it myself. But the point is, after these people get liquidated, we usually enter an accumulation phase, followed by a trend reversal. Long squeeze and short squeeze candles are great examples for spotting these crowds, and then you can expect ranging, followed by the trend change.
In the 4H timeframe, we've relatively shifted the range—hopefully forming a higher high and higher low above 104,862.71. A break of 106,542.82 in the 4H timeframe could be our first trigger for a trend change in this leg. But the main trigger is breaking the resistance at 111,287.45, since this resistance is what triggered the reaction that formed the lower low at 100,503.60—so it's hugely important, and breaking it would put Bitcoin back into uptrend mode.
+ The probability of the US government shutdown ending has hit 84% on Polymarket. Actually, that's what drove the growth in recent days... You might think it's weird—like, shouldn't we grow after good news? I say no, the market moves based on expectations, not news or anything else... Does the expectation say the US government will reopen? Okay, let's grow—that's it.
+ A super important point: Trump officially announced that every American (except high earners) will get $2,000. Something like those stimulus checks during COVID in 2020! Remember that?
And what I'm saying here impacts daily and weekly timeframes, not 4H... So if you're trading in lower timeframes, no need to pay attention to this stuff—per your strategy, if it signals long, open long; if we dump from here and go below 104k, hunt for shorts :) Easy.
If you like these multi-faceted, educational analyses, definitely follow—it's crazy we're still under 1,000. We need a bigger community to pull off even bigger things. Thanks for your attention—till next time, peace out.
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해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.