Bitcoin / TetherUS
Long
업데이트됨

BTC — Intraday LONG idea (RSm) | 29 January 2026

149
Symbol: BTCUSDT
RSm horizon: 0.25

Context:
0.25 horizon approaching entry level
No higher-horizon block

Idea:
LONG near 87728 on 0.25 horizon
Conditional entry: no spikes / no rapid drops

Expectation:
Mean reversion on 0.25 (~0.5%)
Holding time: hours to up to 1 day

Execution note:
This is how I trade the model.
Risk management is trader-specific.
액티브 트레이드
UPDATE — BTC Intraday (RSm)

Entry executed near 87728.

0.25 sign-change level identified at 88405 (~0.77%)
This level is used as the exit reference.

This update reflects my own trade management.
Not investment advice.
노트
UPDATE — BTC Intraday (RSm)

Position remains open.

Additional position (Lot2) is considered
only if the D horizon reaches a negative probability extreme.

Until then, no further adds are planned.

This update reflects my own trade management.
Not investment advice.
노트
UPDATE — BTC Intraday (RSm)

Additional position added (Lot2).

Reason:
The Daily (D) horizon has reached an extreme,
activating the add condition.

Position size: Lot2 (of 3).

This reflects my own execution.
Not investment advice.
노트
UPDATE — Context note (RSm)

After the recent drop, the RSm model shows elevated probabilities
for an upward mean-reversion move.

D-horizon:
Mean reversion toward 86470
Expected time: ~1.25 days on average, up to ~12 days

Reaching the D-horizon allows the position
to be managed at breakeven.
노트
UPDATE - Context Note (RSm)

After the drop consider Lot3
Mean reversion toward 82000 (W-horizon)
Expected time: 1-48 days
주문취소됨
The idea is broken

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