Capital One exceeds forecasts thanks to lower provisions

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Capital One exceeds forecasts thanks to lower provisions and maintains a favorable technical outlook

Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst

Capital One Financial presented quarterly results above market expectations, driven by a lower allocation for credit losses, at a time when doubts remain about the evolution of consumer credit in the United States.

The company obtained net income of $3.02 billion, or $4.73 per share, while adjusted earnings reached $5.81 per share, above the $4.68 expected by the Bloomberg consensus. Provisions for potential defaults stood at $2.99 billion, compared with the $3.99 billion expected by analysts. In contrast, net interest income grew 2%, to $12.4 billion, slightly below forecasts. CEO Richard Fairbank stated that the integration of Discover Financial Services, acquired for around $50 billion, is progressing as expected.

The results suggest that the deterioration in credit quality is being more moderate than expected, reinforcing the entity’s ability to generate profits while advancing one of the largest transactions in the U.S. financial sector.

From a technical point of view, the stock maintains a constructive bias after forming a floor at $174.22 in March, a level that acted again as support on July 8. This move pushed the price to test the resistance at $213.20, while the stock is currently trading at $206.12.

A break of $213.20 could favor an advance towards $232.25 and, subsequently, towards the high reached in January at $259.59. The RSI, at 56.6, reflects positive momentum without being in overbought territory, while the MACD remains in positive territory, although with a declining histogram that points to a moderation of bullish momentum.


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