EUR/NZD — Two Bearish Setups: Near-Term + Macro Short Into Deep

61
EUR/NZD has rallied ~250 pips from the May spike low at 1.9700 back into a dual-layer supply structure. Two sequenced short setups are active simultaneously.

⚡ SETUP 1 — Small Position (Near-term)
Entry: 1.9843–1.9943 | SL: 1.9990 | TP: 1.9822
R:R: ~2.0R | Captures the near-term $$$$$ cluster rejection

🔻 SETUP 2 — Big Position (Macro)
Entry: 1.9943–2.0050 | SL: 2.0117 | TP1: 1.9741 | TP2: 1.9711
R:R: ~4.2R | Full measured move back to spike origin demand zone

The macro supply zone at 1.9943–2.0050 is the exact origin of May's explosive breakdown. Price retesting it from below — with the $$$$$ liquidity cluster at the lower boundary — creates a high-probability institutional sell zone. Setup 1 exploits the near-term rejection while Setup 2 targets the full retracement to the 1.9711–1.9741 demand zone.

Confluences:

$$$$$ liquidity cluster at 1.9943 = Setup 1 trigger
Macro supply zone at 1.9943–2.0050 = prior breakdown origin

NZD broad strength across watchlist (NZDUSD, NZDCHF all relevant)
Clean measured move — rally from demand, short back to demand

Sequencing: Close Setup 1 at 1.9822 → use bearish confirmation to size into Setup 2 on any push into the full supply zone.

Invalidation: Setup 1 → 4H close above 1.9990. Setup 2 → 4H close above 2.0117.

면책사항

해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.