영국 파운드/미국 달러
Long

GBP/USD Santa Rally: Testing the 1.3500 Psychological Level

96
The GBP/USD pair is currently showing strong bullish momentum as we head into the year-end. After the Bank of England's recent decision to cut rates to 3.75% (in a divided 5-4 vote), the British Pound has remained surprisingly resilient. This is largely due to the "reluctant easing" stance of the BoE and a broadly softening US Dollar.

🔍 Technical Analysis
On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, we are seeing a clear Bullish Structure:

Trend: Price is currently trading in an ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows.

Key Resistance: 1.3518 (recent high) and the psychological 1.3550 zone.

Key Support: 1.3450 (former resistance turned support) and 1.3370.

Indicators: The RSI is oscillating above the 60 level, suggesting buying momentum is still in control but approaching overbought territory.

💡 The Trade Plan
I am looking for a continuation of this "Santa Rally" provided the price holds above the mid-1.3400s.

Long Bias: Looking for entries on a successful retest of the 1.3470 area.

Targets: First target at 1.3520, with an extended target near 1.3580.

Invalidation: A daily close below 1.3370 would shift the bias to neutral/bearish.

⚠️ Risk Warning
Liquidity is lower due to the holiday season, which can lead to "spikes" or stop-hunts. Trade with caution and use proper position sizing!

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