금 현물 / 미국 달러
Long
업데이트됨

Heading for the Order Block Anticipating a Short-Term Rejection

217
​The market is currently forming an upward wave, with quotes testing the $4,870 level as it moves within an ascending channel. While the long-term structure remains bullish, the price is now heading toward a major Order Block and supply cluster between $5,075 and $5,115. This zone represents the "last support level pre-breakdown," and a small rejection is expected here as sellers look to fade the recent strength.

​Technical Evidence:
​Order Block Approach: Gold is moving toward the $5,110 – $5,180 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of a bearish Wolfe Wave pattern.
​Expected Rejection: Analysts anticipate a "second wave of selling" at these levels, as the break below the psychological $5,000 mark earlier this month remains a major bearish signal.

​Momentum Exhaustion: Indicators suggest that if the market fails to consolidate above $4,955, it will remain in a "correction phase," likely triggering a pullback to re-test lower liquidity.
​FVG Magnet: Below the current price, a Fair Value Gap sits near $4,725, which may act as a magnet if the rejection at the $5,115 order block is sharp.

​Neutral / Invalidation Dashboard
​Bearish Case: A rejection at $5,115 confirms the "Rising Wedge" breakdown and sets the stage for a drop to $4,400.
​Bullish Case: A clean consolidation above $5,115 invalidates the rejection thesis and opens a parabolic path toward $5,330 – $5,480.

​Final Thought: We are heading straight for that $5,115 Order Block. Watch for a "small rejection" and bearish engulfing candles on the H1/H4 charts to confirm that the big money is defending this supply zone before you commit to a deeper short.
거래청산: 타겟 닿음

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