나스닥-100 인덱스

NASDAQ 100 Forcast!

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It would be better to use weekly charts for long-term analysis!

Trend: Bullish +141% gain in the past 89 weeks!
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Bullish Runs: 6x, gain 15-83%, Duration: 6-23 weeks
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Corrections: 6 times, -7.29 - 14.16%, Duration: 2-4 weeks!
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Now let's compare the distance between new and previous pivot highs!

In the past4 times anytime NDX passed above the previous pivot high moves between +6.8-11.7%, duration: 11-24 weeks!
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My observation:
Looking closer at the above phenomenon, we see last time NDX has closed 6.8% above the previous pivot high, which was much lower than 11.5 and 11.7 % in the previous advancement!

Having said that, the next pivot high for NDX in a Bullish case could be =<6.8% above the last pivot high.
If NDX closed above the previous pivot high in the coming week, the target could be 18000 in the following weeks!

Since the market has not made a Lower Low pattern in the last 89 weeks, closing below 15543.31 must be considered an alarming sign if happens!




You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!

Best,

Moshkelgosha

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