Nifty Analysis EOD – March 18, 2026 – Wednesday

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🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – March 18, 2026 – Wednesday 🔴

Ceiling at 23,840: Bulls Retain Control but conviction Begins to Wane.

🗞 Nifty Summary

Following yesterday’s successful defense, Nifty opened with a confident 77-point Gap Up and quickly added another 105 points in the opening minutes. After a brief period of consolidation, a sharp dip found strong support at the Previous Day High (PDH), triggering a powerful 195-point V-shaped recovery that took the index to 23,835.

However, as noted in previous reports, the 23,840 level proved to be a formidable wall. Multiple attempts to breach this zone failed, signaling a lack of genuine bullish conviction at higher altitudes. Around 2:30 PM, the index broke its intraday trendline, sliding 131 points from the day’s high to close at 23,764.10 (Adjusted close: 23,777.80), gaining +196.65 points (+0.83%).

A key observation today was the erosion of the Nifty Futures premium by 2:20 PM, with futures trading almost at spot prices. This suggests that the immediate upside might be limited. While the day ended in the green, the structure suggests we might see a short-term pullback toward the 23,300 ~ 23,400 zone before the next leg of the rally.

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
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📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
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🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown

Open: 23,632.90

High: 23,862.25

Low: 23,618.45

Close: 23,777.80

Change: +196.65 (+0.83%)

🏗️ Structure Breakdown

Type: Bullish candle with a prominent upper wick.

Range: ≈ 244 points — high intraday volatility.

Body: ≈ 145 points — strong buying strength maintained from the opening gap.

Upper Wick: ≈ 84 points — clear resistance and rejection near the 23,840 barrier.

Lower Wick: ≈ 14 points — minimal selling pressure below the opening tick.

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
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⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update

ATR: 386.02

IB Range: 136.2 → Medium

Market Structure: Imbalanced

Trade Highlights:

09:56 Short Trade: Trailing SL Hit (Early rejection attempt).

10:50 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.4) (PDH Support + V-Recovery + IBH Breakout).

13:53 Long Trade: SL Hit (Caught in the 23,840 rejection).

Trade Summary: Today was a day of mixed results for me. I managed to catch the V-shaped recovery move at 10:50 AM after the index defended the PDH, which turned out to be a successful trade. However, trying to push for more near the 23,840 resistance resulted in a stop-loss as the bulls failed to sustain the breakout. It was a good lesson in respecting the overhead “supply wall.”

🧱 Support & Resistance Levels

Resistance Zones: 23,840 | 24,020 ~ 24,040 (Major Hurdle)

Support Zones: 23,618 (Today’s Low) | 23,555 | 23,410 | 23,300 | 23,175 ~ 23,150

🧠 Final Thoughts

“Bulls are still leading, but the air is getting thin.”

The failure to sustain above 23,840 and the vanishing futures premium are warning signs I cannot ignore.

While the trend remains bullish, the base-building process may require a healthy pullback to the 23,300 ~ 23,400 levels to invite fresh buyers.

For tomorrow, I will be watching the 23,840 zone very closely—a decisive close above it opens the doors to 24,000, but a failure there confirms the need for a retracement.

Stay alert and trade cautiously.

✏️ Disclaimer

This is my personal digital diary and represents my own analysis and point of view. It is not financial advice; please consult a professional advisor before making any trading decisions.

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