1. Macro Cycle Context & Wave A (Irregular Flat Setup)
The grand bull cycle that commenced in 2020 culminated in a major peak in September 2024, marking the completion of the primary first wave. Following this high, Nifty initiated a complex corrective phase characterized by an irregular (expanded) flat (A-B-C) correction.
During this setup:
* Wave A unfolded in a distinct three-wave corrective structure.
* Wave B subsequently surged above the origin of Wave A. This behavior is standard textbook action for an irregular flat, where the corrective up-move traps breakout traders by exceeding the previous high. Crucially, the velocity, internal overlap, and structural anatomy of this up-move lacked impulsive characteristics, confirming its corrective nature as a typical bullish-faint Wave B.
2. The Birth of Wave C and the Current Impulsive Count (C_1 to C_5)
Following the termination of Wave B, the sharp downward Wave C leg kicked off in January 2026. Unlike the overlapping corrective swings seen prior, this downward sequence exhibits clear impulsive properties, subdividing into five distinct internal subwaves labeled from C_1 through C_5.
We are currently tracking the final progress of C_5, which is approaching major structural support levels.
3. Key Targets & Risk Parameters (C_{min} vs. C_{max})
To manage risk and establish clear technical reference points for the conclusion of this decline, we monitor two major thresholds:
* C_{min} (Minimum Target / Primary Support): The initial conservative target zone where subwave C_5 is expected to exhaust itself against primary historical demand and structural channel support.
* C_{max} (Macro Extension Target): A lower extreme support tier. This level is reserved strictly as a worst-case contingency scenario should macroeconomic headwinds intensify aggressively.
The grand bull cycle that commenced in 2020 culminated in a major peak in September 2024, marking the completion of the primary first wave. Following this high, Nifty initiated a complex corrective phase characterized by an irregular (expanded) flat (A-B-C) correction.
During this setup:
* Wave A unfolded in a distinct three-wave corrective structure.
* Wave B subsequently surged above the origin of Wave A. This behavior is standard textbook action for an irregular flat, where the corrective up-move traps breakout traders by exceeding the previous high. Crucially, the velocity, internal overlap, and structural anatomy of this up-move lacked impulsive characteristics, confirming its corrective nature as a typical bullish-faint Wave B.
2. The Birth of Wave C and the Current Impulsive Count (C_1 to C_5)
Following the termination of Wave B, the sharp downward Wave C leg kicked off in January 2026. Unlike the overlapping corrective swings seen prior, this downward sequence exhibits clear impulsive properties, subdividing into five distinct internal subwaves labeled from C_1 through C_5.
We are currently tracking the final progress of C_5, which is approaching major structural support levels.
3. Key Targets & Risk Parameters (C_{min} vs. C_{max})
To manage risk and establish clear technical reference points for the conclusion of this decline, we monitor two major thresholds:
* C_{min} (Minimum Target / Primary Support): The initial conservative target zone where subwave C_5 is expected to exhaust itself against primary historical demand and structural channel support.
* C_{max} (Macro Extension Target): A lower extreme support tier. This level is reserved strictly as a worst-case contingency scenario should macroeconomic headwinds intensify aggressively.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.
면책사항
해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.