Short

OIL (Brent) – Premium Rejection, Pullback before Continuation

Current context (H4 + H1)
- H4: bullish structure (CHoCH + BOS) from discount
- Price reached premium (100–104) → supply zone
- H1: PDH sweep (102.4) + bearish CHoCH → early weakness
- No acceptance above highs → only rejections

🧠 Market behavior
- Classic flow: accumulation → expansion → liquidity sweep → pullback
- Upside liquidity taken → high probability of correction
- Current area = distribution / equilibrium

📉 Main scenario (Intraday SHORT)
- As long as price stays below 101.8 – 102.4
➡️ targets:
- TP1: 99.7
- TP2: 98.4 – 97.6
- TP3: 96.9
✔️ Confirmation:
- lower TF bearish BOS
- rejection from supply
- continuation below 100.5

📈 Alternative scenario (H4 Bullish continuation)
- If price accepts above 102.4
➡️ targets:
- 104.2
- 109.5
✔️ Confirmation:
- BOS above highs
- holding above PDH

⚠️ SSM Insight
- Do not buy in premium
- Best setups = discount entries (98–97)
- Current short = pullback within bullish trend

노트

Sergiu_SmartMoney

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