Looks like market bottoms just before the Unemployment peak.
Market peaks just before fed starts reducing the rates.
At the current situation, we have fed fund rates high and also unemployment started to climb.
Will be looking at the unemployment going high and markets roll over and fed cuts rates.
if FED keeps the same rate for long, something in the economy will break and they have to reduce the rate and if it happens then it's already too late.
Looks like CD's and earning ~5% interest on cash is much better than risking for very limited upside in the market.
Market peaks just before fed starts reducing the rates.
At the current situation, we have fed fund rates high and also unemployment started to climb.
Will be looking at the unemployment going high and markets roll over and fed cuts rates.
if FED keeps the same rate for long, something in the economy will break and they have to reduce the rate and if it happens then it's already too late.
Looks like CD's and earning ~5% interest on cash is much better than risking for very limited upside in the market.
노트
Unemployment rate is slowly grinding up.노트
Here we are unemployment is greater than 4%, reason why market is weakening.Expect unemployment to raise sharp and market correcting or consolidating.
노트
Yes, unemployment is raising, it will blast off in next 2 months.Just wait for the first cut, then follows the big bears until rates go below 3%.
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해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.