업데이트됨
Final Flush?
Note the big red candles in prior selloffs of this trend each followed by a deep flush with reversal leaving a long wick. Crashing.
Big ERs Weds FB and Thurs AMZN, AAPL all EOD after the close. Extreme risk in any position now, highly unstable, unpredictable.
Catch this knife at your own risk. Indicators become worthless in a panic. Oversold >> More Oversold. Capitulation phase.
If you imagine that looking at these red ovals it had been simple to just short and ride top to bottom, look again.
Every red candle has a high wick and shorts got shaken out on those, then it rolled over again.
There were green rally days that looked like reversals, but failed, stopped out both shorts and longs.
So damned tricky to trade these downdrafts, the fluctuation is terrific. Short-killing rallies followed by bull trap selloffs.
Look, on Monday the damned thing started with a selloff, then bulled up 2%.
Bear markets are a real Bear. Hate it!
Big ERs Weds FB and Thurs AMZN, AAPL all EOD after the close. Extreme risk in any position now, highly unstable, unpredictable.
Catch this knife at your own risk. Indicators become worthless in a panic. Oversold >> More Oversold. Capitulation phase.
If you imagine that looking at these red ovals it had been simple to just short and ride top to bottom, look again.
Every red candle has a high wick and shorts got shaken out on those, then it rolled over again.
There were green rally days that looked like reversals, but failed, stopped out both shorts and longs.
So damned tricky to trade these downdrafts, the fluctuation is terrific. Short-killing rallies followed by bull trap selloffs.
Look, on Monday the damned thing started with a selloff, then bulled up 2%.
Bear markets are a real Bear. Hate it!
노트
Watching futures fade... here we go again노트
Dead cat노트
Decent bounce, trades at the futurz o/n high노트
Taking 2 qqq 322p Friday's weeklies노트
Closed shorts might get another bounce to lower high?액티브 트레이드
Opened shortz in qqq made a bear flag노트
Closed all but the FB puts. Big bank day. JN Apple is now off 20 bucks this month, they report Thurs EOD, and Amazon. If they beat will boost the whole market.Could be near pivot, could be a bull trap here.
FOMC next week could really break it IMO.
액티브 트레이드
Nice gap! Closed QQQ calls in the open + 60%. Defrayed the dismal FB losses on metapop, lol. Traded puts for fade the gap; NB: RTY closed the gap, NQ remains above and might not close, at least not right away. Be carefull!More stupid ERS tonite!!
노트
Seems the gap may not fill until eod or on another day or not at all. stay tuned. No positions now except a strangle on AAPL.노트
Ppl asking is it bullish or not? It's a WHIPSAW market, this will pump up and dump down for days or weeks. Very likely another big dump coming next week for finishing move. Keep positions small and play defensively.
Most of these gaps will fill by EOD, some the next day.
ER plays on AAPL and AMZN tonight. After the FB debacle I can't recommend a directional trade, buy straddles or strangles. Options on AAPL are affordable, I took a $7.50 spread strangle for $5.55 net debit.
If the stock moves ten bucks either way you win!
Risk in these: if it doesn't move far enough, theta will erode the position.
노트
Only ER play that won was AMZN (no position). AAPL options deflated overnight when the news came out they all went to $1, give or take, premiums just vaporized, although puts opened itm they were just a buck. Terrible play, so sorry if you took this and lost! Played fade the gap to recover some capital.
Bearish again, eh? Fed probly tank the damned thing next week IMO. Licking my wounds, no position.
노트
It came down filled this chart and bounced nicely on 5/02. Made wee bank on calls there, but 5/03 scalped a few pips early am trade, then gave half of it back on trying spy calls which fade and weaken. It is just NOT bullish imo. Still ahead on this move but sitting out atm.Fed decision Weds, always chancy. Might have the rate hike priced in already; might sell more anyway.
노트
Fli[pped a single call on SPY at 14:01 lol; madness!노트
Insane. NQ +150 > 0노트
Not trading jsut watching do not recommend touching this!노트
Flipped a single put. Fluctuates wildly. Watch in amazement. Gave two vertical spikes both sold off. +/- 150 pips in minutes.Place NO orders at market, the spreads are so wide you will be holding the bag!
노트
Price on SPY, QQQ moves over a dollar a second. Incredible, options spreads are 50c+. You cannot possibly hope to come ahead in this environment.Waiting for tomorrow, quit while still ahead on the day!
노트
NQ flippped -20 to +20 in under one second just now. WOW.노트
b/c JPowell said 75bp hike not on the table.
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해당 정보와 게시물은 금융, 투자, 트레이딩 또는 기타 유형의 조언이나 권장 사항으로 간주되지 않으며, 트레이딩뷰에서 제공하거나 보증하는 것이 아닙니다. 자세한 내용은 이용 약관을 참조하세요.