I’m not buying this move at all the trend is still pointing down and nothing here suggests a real shift.
The structure hasn’t changed, we’re still respecting that descending channel and every push up is getting sold.
This latest move up into 4640–4660 looks like a classic pullback into imbalance rather than any real reversal. Price already tapped into that FVG and you can see the rejection building. To me, that’s smart money reloading shorts in premium, not chasing highs.
The main idea is simple: sell the retrace, not the bottom. As long as price stays below 4660, I’m treating this as distribution before continuation lower. Ideally, I want to see some kind of lower timeframe weakness inside that zone — a small shift or failed push higher — before committing.
Liquidity above has already been partially taken, so the draw now is clearly below. There’s a clean pool sitting under 4540, and even deeper around 4500–4520 at the channel low.
Targets are staged: first around 4580 for partials, then 4540, and final push into 4520 liquidity.
If price breaks and holds above 4660, I’m out — that would mean structure is shifting and the short idea is invalid.
Right now, this still looks like a sell from premium in a bearish market.
Are you fading this retrace or waiting for deeper confirmation?
The structure hasn’t changed, we’re still respecting that descending channel and every push up is getting sold.
This latest move up into 4640–4660 looks like a classic pullback into imbalance rather than any real reversal. Price already tapped into that FVG and you can see the rejection building. To me, that’s smart money reloading shorts in premium, not chasing highs.
The main idea is simple: sell the retrace, not the bottom. As long as price stays below 4660, I’m treating this as distribution before continuation lower. Ideally, I want to see some kind of lower timeframe weakness inside that zone — a small shift or failed push higher — before committing.
Liquidity above has already been partially taken, so the draw now is clearly below. There’s a clean pool sitting under 4540, and even deeper around 4500–4520 at the channel low.
Targets are staged: first around 4580 for partials, then 4540, and final push into 4520 liquidity.
If price breaks and holds above 4660, I’m out — that would mean structure is shifting and the short idea is invalid.
Right now, this still looks like a sell from premium in a bearish market.
Are you fading this retrace or waiting for deeper confirmation?
거래청산: 타겟 닿음
Clean execution all the way — this one played out exactly as planned.
Price tapped the OB around 4566, reacted sharp, and never looked back. Once momentum kicked in, it was just straight expansion into liquidity above. No hesitation, no deep pullbacks — that’s how you know the level was real.
Full TP hit around 4660 → +940 pips secured.
This is the kind of move you wait for — clear level, strong reaction, and clean delivery into target.
Now the interesting part… after taking that high, price is starting to stall. Could easily turn into a distribution here.
Did you guys hold full TP or scale out on the way up?
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