GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 18

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📰 Gold Market News & Developments

Gold is staging a strong recovery following the sharp drop during the FOMC session. The Fed raised interest rates by 25 bps to the 3.75%–4.00% range and maintained a relatively hawkish stance, exerting pressure on Gold. However, on September 17, the USD and Treasury yields cooled off, and oil prices fell; this helped XAU/USD surge over 2% and return to the 4,350–4,360 range.

Currently, the market is in a tug-of-war: falling yields and a weaker USD are supporting Gold, while the Fed's hawkish outlook is capping the upside momentum.

📊 H1 Timeframe Analysis

After a sharp decline to the 4,240–4,260 zone, Gold has formed a series of higher lows and climbed back above 4,300.

However, the price has not yet broken through the 4,375–4,385 level, so a full bullish reversal cannot yet be confirmed.

→ Here are some trading zones to consider:

🔴 SELL zone: 4,370–4,385
- This is the immediate resistance zone where the price has reacted multiple times.
→ If the price reaches this zone but fails to break out, a correction may occur. We can look to Sell in this area if such a correction develops.
- Above this lies the 4,430–4,445 range, representing a stronger SELL zone on the chart.

🟢 BUY zone: 4,310–4,300
A key demand zone situated near the longer-term EMA.
→ If the price pulls back to this level and shows a bullish reaction, it becomes a notable area for BUY positions.

🟢 Lower BUY zone: 4,265–4,255
This is a stronger support zone that previously served as a bottom from which the price staged a significant rebound.

📈 EMA:
The price is currently trading above the cluster of short- and medium-term EMAs, indicating improved H1 momentum.
The EMAs around the 4,330–4,350 level are currently acting as dynamic support.
If XAUUSD holds above this EMA cluster, the recovery structure remains intact.

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